bouncycorn
Meteorologist
New GEFS has more separation but it's not further north like GFS op.
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That system is more interesting than anything I've seen in the past few days.The GFS has that low too.
not goodCan someone post the 0z GEFS surface members?
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and they are both way too warm . time is running out pretty fastIf you look at the GEFS mean, you can see that event what those members show during the 9th. The mean spread shows another wave coming through MS/AL/GA and then off of the southeast coast on the 10th. So, there could be two waves.
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how can time be running out for something over 5 days away?and they are both way too warm . time is running out pretty fast
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how can time be running out for something over 5 days away?
00z euro has a system ......that's too warm . not even close
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we are under 120 hours now and watching the ensembles shift north at the point isn't encouraging at all. The trough axis isn't in a great spot. sure we keep getting runs that pull it back further west . But in general it's too far east. Now with that said your area and many others in NC could easily do well in this setup . But for us back to the west the trough placement verbatim is crapAll it would take is the storm to slow down 6 hours and a large majority of the SE would be all snow. This is far from over IMO. Models aren't even sure about the evolution of the HP not to mention the shortwave timing...
850s 6 hours later
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never said it was over but we are under 120 hours now and watching the ensembles shift north at the point isn't encouraging at all. The trough axis isn't in a great spot. sure we keep getting runs that pull it back further west . But in general it's too far east. Now with that said your area and many others in NC could easily do well in this setup . But for us back to the west the trough placement verbatim is crap
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that's a good point . can't speak for anyone else but I often make blanket statements when in reality I'm talking about my area. I hope yall score, we have alot of NC members that are very interested in this system.Yeah I guess it's important to note which area each of us are rooting for/talking about. NC has a decent shot, I don't want to give anyone's hopes up but I think that's pretty much the only state in the game for this one outside of far northern county gulf states, maybe....and of course SW SC if NC scores. It would be a miracle to get this to be an NC event.
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The Euro is a lot closer for my area. Heck a couple days ago it did not even have a system. I understand that there are not many Tn posters at all but we are part of the south.00z euro has a system ......that's too warm . not even close
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