Pattern Mega March 2023

[Shaggy]

Might be a little loud overnight around here
HRRR Lightning
View attachment 133821

HRRR Radar
View attachment 133822

Total Precip

View attachment 133823

Getting some thunder now

 

[Downeastnc]

Well then

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GFS this morning.


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Lol yeah it’s starting to get a handle on things like the euro and CMC but it’s still a bit lost in the medium.. it’s catching up though I’m sure today the models will get on a better page hopefully for around the 10th

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[coldfront22]

That is some cold air for March, but will it verify or moderate as we get closer?

 

[iGRXY]

Now this is interesting. If we can spike the ridge out west and get some digging here we could score as there is no SER to speak and very cold air in place already.

 

[iGRXY]

?

 

[tempo47]

Is it supposed to get cooler than what’s being shown 10 days out still says low 60s mid 40s for the next 2 weeks here for atl

 

[iGRXY]

This is why I've been saying to keep your expectations limited because it's mid March.

 

[LukeBarrette]

You get the cold with no moisture, typical stuff

 

[iGRXY]

View attachment 133841
You get the cold with no moisture, typical stuff

GFS shows exactly why expecting anything besides well below average temps is fools gold more than likely. We had an East coast trough already in place with a spiked western ridge and the S/W coming out of the Northwest still didn't dig enough and we pushed WAA out ahead of the storm just to get a cold rain with big cold air sliding in behind it. So rinse and repeat.

 

[iGRXY]

Climo folks. Climo. This is honestly mother nature laughing at us at this point.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

No one should be expecting snow out of any winter pattern .. especially in the SE in march .. but you can guarantee it will feel like winter in this cold pattern setting up for march! I’m a lover for cold at heart .. snow would just be a bonus but I’m not expecting it.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Is it supposed to get cooler than what’s being shown 10 days out still says low 60s mid 40s for the next 2 weeks here for atl

Who says?


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[rburrel2]

Dang

 

[olhausen]

So I ended up 9.3 degrees above average for February. If last month was March I still would have been almost 1 degree above normal! That’s impressive and horrible at the same time. It could very well end up being colder in March then it was in February.

 

[rburrel2]

There must be a few coastal big dogs on the GEFS.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

There must be a few coastal big dogs on the GEFS.View attachment 133846

Not to mention some extreme arctic outbreaks just looking at those deep south trace snowfalls.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Cold at least.

 

[BullCityWx]

Agreement on the cold air 8-9 days out on all three models at 12z. We'll see if the euro brings anything else.