Ok sounds good, we will get that taken care of
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
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whatalife
Moderator
I think I'm going to need a drink before tonight is over. 
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
I am sure it is just smelling the nose plugs it has in. H5 matters, and the NAM only covers North America, and doesn't focus too much on everything at a high resolution. Watch the HMON and HWRF over the nam 100 times.
Looks like new ew about complete and cloud tops getting colder again, maybe about to take off one more time... also still gaining latitude decreasing chances of Cuba interaction I'm afraid
pcbjr
Member
So well put! Thanks for the smile on an otherwise tense night!
This is messy
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Less interaction = bad news!
Xtreme Weather
Member
Glue about all it sniffs
skywatcher
Member
Irms is captured by the trough lol
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Storm5
Member
GFS EURO HMON HWRF all the way
Xtreme Weather
Member
NAM on Irma "she gone" OTS
Storm5
Member
Racing NE headed OTS
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This might actually go ots the trough in the NE is cut off and unless something happens Irma will go NE from here on out. Such a big change at h5 it's really hard to believe
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WeatherWatch
Member
Yeah, what is the NAM doing? I don't think Irma will go that far east. Not unless that trough up to the north and east pushes it OTS but I doubt it.
pcbjr
Member
Here's our Wiki scorecard ... $1.00 for a $1000.00 on the NAM?
http://wiki.southernwx.com/doku.php?id=2017_hurricane_season
Got to Weather Model Scoreboard
http://wiki.southernwx.com/doku.php?id=2017_hurricane_season
Got to Weather Model Scoreboard
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Lol, it was sniffing out the flow over the conus yeah, maybe nose to the ground, but it has no clue whats going on with the ridge over the Atlantic.
This run though. It's merging with the trough at 75. It's either going to scream straight up the eastern seaboard or take a hard left into NC Va
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why do I not buy the NAM?? oh wait because it's the NAM
Sounds good to me. I hope the other models trend towards the NAM. It would sure save a lot of people a lot of heartache and headache.
pcbjr
Member
Hot Nam ...
pcbjr
Member
Like I said 2 days ago - we can start a Rosary ...
The nam says hi Phil no hurricane for you. Here is a dew point of 49 instead
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------ NAM you gonna make me stay up now to see what goofus says.....
WeatherWatch
Member
You can see stronger heights building in from the east. Maybe it will be pushed in NC/VA like SD said.
pcbjr
Member
W
WeatherLC
Guest
Exactly what I was thinking!
whatalife
Moderator
Nam OTS. Lmao
pcbjr
Member
Quoting Whatalife - "I was thinking the same damn thing!
Not completely ots, actually hits the OBX so yeah they got NAM'd
WeatherWatch
Member
NAM is going HAM on NC...that's baloney.
Bumper bumper in FL 11PM ON I75
So the NAM is actually that one gefs member I see.... Lol explains goofus problems
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
NAM is singing "On My Own."
That nam solution isn't impossible but given the fact it's such a change at h5 I wouldn't buy it. Interestingly enough the gfs moved the NE trough farther SW at 18z vs 12z even though it tracked Irma farther W.
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Honestly outside of the 48 HR range the NAM is usually garbage.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Oh man the new cone is west.
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