whatalife
Moderator
GFS is slightly NE of the 18z at hr 48.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
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Xtreme Weather
Member
54hr Miami in bullseye
Storm5
Member
Headed right for Miami
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Storm5
Member
The NAM needs to be retired ...
Of course the gfs does as well
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Of course the gfs does as well
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Rest in peace Miami. Prayers for FL!
When Irma finishe's it's ERC, the eye will be massive.
pretty close to the 12z run, slightly west this run of that, and slightly east of 18z run. about to smash Miami moving on a NW path hr 60
Xtreme Weather
Member
If mb even close high end 4 dare I say cat 5 intensity
pcbjr
Member
We're 24 from now casting - don't close the door yet ... but ...
Storm5
Member
Looks like due North after landfall maybe a tick NE
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uncheelfan
Member
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- Jan 6, 2017
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- 19
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- 18
Long time lurker here. Quick question for everyone. What is the tornado outlook with Irma?
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Brent
Member
well that east trend lasted about 10 minutes lol
honestly I'd be shocked to see a drastic shift from here on out, with the Euro/UKMET and apparently all the NHC's top secret models all together, very hard to see a big change
honestly I'd be shocked to see a drastic shift from here on out, with the Euro/UKMET and apparently all the NHC's top secret models all together, very hard to see a big change
yeah still impact that NW bend upstate
Right side of circulation has the highest chance. But still a risk regardless, anywhere.
pcbjr
Member
serious
Storm5
Member
We like when lurkers speak!!!! TORNADOES are gonna be a big issue on the northeast and east side of the storm .
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ridge is closing off to its NE and North quickly. hr 66
the trof/weakness is trying to already tug into this from the west and NW
WeatherWatch
Member
At hr 78, Irma is a Cat. 4 at that point.
uncheelfan
Member
- Joined
- Jan 6, 2017
- Messages
- 19
- Reaction score
- 18
Im up in East Tennessee and the way it's looking we could very well be on the northeast side of Irma. Such a powerful storm with so many ways of devastation that is about to happen. Stay safe everyone.
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Storm5
Member
Here comes the hard NW turn through Georgia
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near the cape at hr74 and starting to get "tugged" back west. again, looks a little east of 18z run but west of 12z run so far. Weakness EAST is all but gone.
pcbjr
Member
FWIW - at least it is a bit east ...
Oh yes - forgot ... said that a day ago ...
Oh yes - forgot ... said that a day ago ...
next landfall near JAX heading WNW or NW back into GA hr 84-90
weatherguy
Member
Irma follows the east coast of FL to the T on the 00z GFS.
Xtreme Weather
Member
Heading W/NW at 90
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MMoore4720
Member
Well funny you mention you like when the lurkers speak. First off I am a little kid in a candy store with everyone's observations and knowledge thank you so much for the massive amount of data breakdowns.
My question.. I'll be staying in a place located in West Ga (Near Bowden) their home is at 1500' above sea level will that increase the percieved winds?
My question.. I'll be staying in a place located in West Ga (Near Bowden) their home is at 1500' above sea level will that increase the percieved winds?
00z then 12z then 18z runs same time stamp
Xtreme Weather
Member
Now just east of Macon
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WeatherWatch
Member
Wow, Irma hanging on, a weak cat. 2 roughly over east central GA (hr 96)
Storm5
Member
What an ugly run for South Carolina
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Xtreme Weather
Member
Going to the big A Atlanta
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Yep, tornadoes and wind damage, yay. :|
whatalife
Moderator
What an ugly thing to say. Please bring your chainsaw when you come to visit me and Shawn in about 5 days
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W
WeatherLC
Guest
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
That run made more sense to me. Moving NW upon landfall versus WNW. Keeps Atlanta on the "good" side of the storm and SC and WNC on the dirty side.
NCSNOW
Member
That gfs run is a major difference for folks futher upstream. Eyewall hugs coast all the way up and has way more punch as opposed to coming straight up midle of penisula.
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