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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
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I was just going to introduce the word "stall" beyond 96 hours lol
gawxnative
Member
Is there still a live show tonight... Didn t scroll through all 14 pages that loaded when at work..lol
VegasEagle
Member
Is the show on tonight with JB?
No live show tonight, JB was a little busy.... hopefully this weekend. Keep checking the southernwx show thread for updates. Sorry!
VegasEagle
Member
Thank you!
gawxnative
Member
Well with evac of Savannah Metro set for Sat AM. and no rooms in metro ATL, where are they to go?? GFS Paints 70-80 kts at 925 mb for me
skywatcher
Member
West. FL panhandle or AL gulf coast are good options.
Snow_chaser
Member
He passing on Southernwx for Sean Hannity? lol what's he thinking.
metfascination
Member
Last year we went to visit my stepdaughter in Oxford, AL. The hotels in that area were full of Florida evacuees.
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whatalife
Moderator
Looks like recon headed for the NE quadrant, pressures seem to be holding steady see what they find....
Sadly things are looking more and more worse and concerning. We could have the worse hurricane in years slap the shores.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Or the SD rain hole theory!
gawxnative
Member
And with the latest forecast track.. It puts most/all Metro ATL to the right so increased tornado threat. GFS also paints with 4-6 " form Irma
dpbutler1
Member
0Z hurricane models
Where are you seeing that ? I haven't seen many tracks west of Atlanta
W
WeatherLC
Guest
The 18z gfs did I think
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I'll just say right now I'm leaning west. I have been for over a week when I got lambasted on the zoo board for mentionig the east biased that silicon has for strong hurricanes running under a strengthening BOR(Big Ol' Ridge). I just need more consistency in the upper level output of the models over the conus and I'm not seeing it just yest. Regardless, Fl is very much in the crosshairs AT THIS TIME, emphasis on right now.
Storm5
Member
FB live video around 930 come on by
0Z hurricane models
That is what the average person call's consensus.
Irma is looking insane on IR.
pcbjr
Member
consensus east, then consensus spine --- devil is in the details by 50 - 75 miles ...
HHs areally showing quickly weakening winds in the inner eyewall. This will get fun the next few hours.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
That's a very powerful storm and it probably will not weaken as fast as some have in the past. Lot's of momentum with this one.
Storm5
Member
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Brick Tamland
Guest
I think the whole state of Florida should evacuate. I just remember what Fran did here when it came inland, and it wasn't nearly as strong or as big as Irma.
Sure looks like Alabama will feel some affects after this afternoon and evening trends
Looks like Irma going through an erc and winds may be down just a bit but once the erc is fully complete may take off again.... other than clouds tops warming just a touch it still looks amazingly symmetrical
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To be honest, a run up the spine east of Miami is best case scenario at this point. If this pans out.consensus east, then consensus spine --- devil is in the details by 50 - 75 miles ...
Is there any chance Irma actually weakens as it goes over the increasingly warmer waters over the next 24 hours ?
No I'm not saying it's weakening, I'm saying the inner eyewall is nearly completely gone. Irma could strengthen significantly in the next six to twelve hours.
campamy
Member
I think what's worrying me the most with this storm is the incredible size and coverage of it especially over the "popular" areas. Big city names like Miami and Savannah are headlines, but based on most recent tracks there are so many small Florida/Georgia/South Carolina , etc. towns that could be devastated and there just won't be enough attention or money to go around. This storm makes me sick.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The worst part about this storm is the Florida/Georgia/South Carolina coast is not likely to be the same EVER again.
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Didn't you hear? Irma doesn't do ERC's just ERT's(Eyewall Replacement Tease) lol
That's concerning as it hits the warmest water it's had and it's going to have a northward outflow channel developing. Might make a run to get really strong. Some interference from Cuba would be nice
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Well, one area for the Savannah refugees to go to is Augusta...Richmond County schools have cancelled for Monday-Wednesday next week to help house refugees from the coast (there's a chance Augusta is not that safe though).
I'd also try Athens because UGA is away this weekend.
I'd also try Athens because UGA is away this weekend.
Storm5
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