Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[GeorgiaGirl]

If this is what it looks for Florida, it's going to be a matter of who to evacuate and where are they going to go when they evacuate? There's still a lot of time though.

 

[pcbjr]

Although all options are on the table still, it's never too early to make preparations for supplies, make evacuation routes, etc.

When one lives in this neck of the woods, that is done way ahead of time ... like beginning in June ...

 

[Metwannabe]

Eps going to be just north of Haiti, fairly tightly clustered thru 84 hrs

 

[accu35]

I really wish Irma would just go OTS for everyone sake

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Alabama would probably be a good place to evacuate to or even West Georgia.

 

[accu35]

Alabama would probably be a good place to evacuate to or even West Georgia.

For now LOL!!

 

[Storm5]

Some Cuba hits through day 5

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[WeatherWatch]

We're to a time of where there is model agreement. Yes, of course, the track could change as the days go on, but I'm not expecting a significant track change. Either way, FL, GA, SC and NC (possibly even eastern AL, depending on how far west Irma may go) will see impacts from Irma.



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[Nam0806]

When one lives in this neck of the woods, that is done way ahead of time ... like beginning in June ...

Oh no, you have more expertise than I do, no doubt. That's a true statement.

 

[Taylor]

NAM is fairly north in 84hrs compared to most other model guidance.

 

[Metwannabe]

Eps looks a tick north of the 0z....

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Nah we're still quite a ways away but it's surprising to see this kind of consensus on the track of a storm. Last time I've seen something like this while paying attention was the January 2011 winter storm.

 

[Storm5]

Turning by day 6

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[Metwannabe]

Some Cuba hits through day 5

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I notice stronger storms more north, is this due to less land interaction or are they further north because they are stronger?

 

[Metwannabe]

There is massive model agreement with an eventual turn north hard to ignore that but as always just when will that occur....

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Looks like theres still a good chance this thing ends up east of FL and not making landfall until the Carolinas.

 

[Arcc]

Turning by day 6

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Looks like most of the Florida misses were north by 70W from the pack.

 

[Storm5]

Another SW shift on the EPS

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[ForsythSnow]

Here is the drop from the SW eyewall. Still a ways to go for the winds in the upper levels to mix down. Impressive in the upper levels though.

 

[Storm5]

Looks like most of the Florida misses were north by 70W from the pack.

Definitely a W/SW shift vs 00z

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