Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[ForsythSnow]

Recon says we may have cat 4 Irma...

183000 1653N 05346W 6946 02900 9750 +100 +100 153104 116 104 038 00
183030 1652N 05347W 7008 02801 9698 +111 +110 142088 092 113 010 00
183100 1651N 05348W 6963 02838 //// +119 //// 141091 093 113 007 05
183130 1650N 05349W 6965 02815 9617 +129 +123 146081 091 104 001 01
183200 1649N 05350W 6973 02788 9599 +138 +114 151081 081 092 001 00
183230 1648N 05351W 6967 02769 9572 +140 +112 152084 085 074 001 00
183300 1647N 05352W 6965 02748 9550 +135 +119 151081 084 069 010 03
183330 1646N 05353W 6957 02734 9561 +117 //// 154070 075 065 014 05
183400 1645N 05355W 6967 02704 9511 +131 +129 162064 069 067 005 00
183430 1644N 05356W 6969 02680 9472 +142 +135 167057 062 067 005 03

 

[accu35]

Euro west this run in general

 

[whatalife]

GA/SC hit. Maybe


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[Xtreme Weather]

Well W at 174 riding offshore of the FL pen

 

[Storm5]

GA/SC hit. Maybe


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Yep

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[accu35]

Still plenty time for Irma to choose her path.

 

[Arcc]

GA/SC hit. Maybe


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Bingo

 

[WeatherWatch]

I agree, the way the setup is at 500, it's looking like it will be between GA/SC.

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[Arcc]

Sounds like the GEFS mean is a good middle ground and track at this point.

 

[Storm5]

946

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[Xtreme Weather]

Stronger as well about 130-135kt winds as it nears S FL

 

[Meteorologist1999]

If you ask me.. So far Euro/GFS is in pretty good agreement on Major effects from Hurricane Irma from FL up to the Carolinas!! Who Agree??

 

[Storm5]

Levi said recon just found a 130 mph surface wind in the NE part of the eye wall

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[ForsythSnow]

Levi said recon just found a 130 mph surface wind in the NE part of the eye wall

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Posted that further up. It seems that this is coming from the outer eyewall.

 

[Storm5]

Good agreement now on Irma approaching south Florida late Sunday

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[ForsythSnow]

Looking at the data, this ERC should only last another couple hours at max, then we should see RI.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Until W trend stops still the chance that models can shift with overall track in the end

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Looking at the data, this ERC should only last another couple hours at max, then we should see RI.

FS, would the euro be a huge wind and rain maker for our area?

 

[accu35]

Still 6 days away, and most likely things will change with the path.

 

[accu35]

Until W trend stops still the chance that models can shift with overall track in the end

Yeah, not sure but it could be real easy for Irma to creep up the west side of Fl if she wants to instead of east side. See it happen many times before