ForsythSnow
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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
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NWMSGuy
Member
Euro out yet?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Both the trough and ridge are stronger this run, wavelengths have shortened...
WeatherWatch
Member
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Yes it s
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Euro is a bit South so far.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Ridge is also set in much more from the east.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah, looks a lot like the GFS. Jose is following too.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's not going into the Gulf this run, already turning north towards Miami...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here comes the reinforcing short wave over the midwest that will try to lift Irma northward
OTS option is still there at 144hrs.
Wow. Model madness continues...
Did it go its OTS??
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's a tug of war between the s/w diving out of the midwest and the trough exiting the northeast, even if it's an OTS route, a lot of direct impacts for the SE US...
Don't think it will get there, probably about to see NW as the Ridge blocks it and the ULL forms.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Hmmm. Looks like a NC hit.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's necessarily that the ridge is blocking it more so, the shortwave trough over the southern US is providing a bigger weakness than the trough over the northeast and thus captures Irma and is about to slingshot into the southeastern US...
pcbjr
Member
Very serious question - Does the 12Z Euro have recon data as part of its modeling?
Makes a difference, I propose, on the weight to give it ..
Makes a difference, I propose, on the weight to give it ..
Xtreme Weather
Member
Euro a tick farther W after the N turn with this run so far thru 162
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