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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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accu35 said:
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NAM, you so cray
 
Given the shear being relatively minor until it reaches Central Florida and the TCHP of the Florida Straits, it has the potential to bomb out again. I guess we will find out soon.
 
INIT 09/1500Z 22.8N 79.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 10/0000Z 23.4N 80.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1200Z 24.5N 81.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
36H 11/0000Z 26.4N 82.1W 120 KT 140 MPH
 
It's amazing how some people think that just because it has weakened some today that Florida has somehow been spared. This is still an extremely dangerous storm with potential for strengthening over the next 24-36 hours.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
It's amazing how some people think that just because it has weakened some today that Florida has somehow been spared. This is still an extremely dangerous storm with potential for strengthening over the next 24-36 hours.
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Definitely got it pegged IMO to get back to 150-160 mph winds by time it gets near Naples if it doesn't make direct landfall might stay that way up to panhandle
 
I wasn't up to read the debates over strength and my last look at Irma...it did look ragged but as long as the core stays intact (and I really can't tell being a novice) I suspect that this still ends up being a 4 when there is a landfall on the US.

Edited: I know that it's a 3 now.
 
Models are backing off on how much Irma stays over Cuba...last night runs they had it diving a bit more into the mainland. GFS also just skirts Irma now.,
 
deltadog03 said:
Models are backing off on how much Irma stays over Cuba...last night runs they had it diving a bit more into the mainland. GFS also just skirts Irma now.,
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Looking at radar and would appear the center is just north of the coast now, obviously still some land interaction but not enough to disrupt it anymore..
 
metwannabe said:
Looking at radar and would appear the center is just north of the coast now, obviously still some land interaction but not enough to disrupt it anymore..
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agreed for sure.
GFS ramps up a 20mb drop in 6 hours once leaving the coast.
 
wow this would be something if it can! 896mb near Key west hour 24! That would be a 50mb!!! drop if right. (from what the GFS shows as it leaves Cuba).I doubt it, but just shows how this can get ramped back up very quickly
 
Looks like GFS is gonna ride the west coast at least this early on. NW and about to smash into Fort Meyers...around 910-914mb
 
Brent said:
man that would be something if it bombed into the 800s after this weakening...
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Yep and another problem, I'm getting news alert after news alert on my phone "Irma weakens to Cat 3", the alert should say Irma may have weakened but expected to rapidly intensify.... I know read the details but not everybody does that
 
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