Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[Xtreme Weather]

Near Columbus GA at 54

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Much faster with TS this run flying NW

 

[Arcc]

She's wrapping up quickly. Those larger mountains must have been what slowed it down because the coast it's on now has little effect.

It will regain Cat 4 easily.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Just N of Gadsden AL at 66

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Well W of last model runs after 54 hr

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Well W of last model runs after 54 hr

Faster more so than west. But a tick West yes

 

[Xtreme Weather]

More than a tick

12z

0z

 

[deltadog03]

That’s going to bring some higher wind speeds over larger area inland too. Especially with a stronger system as it might not spend as much time over the mainland

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

More than a tick

12z

0z

0Z gets to that same spot it's just slower

 

[WeatherLC]

More than a tick

12z

0z

Looks like that would cause some significant wind and severe issues for north Georgia


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[WeatherWatch]

North Georgia folks, my forecast is on track. Here is my latest blog discussing the impacts here for north Georgia from Irma.
http://northgawxinfo.blogspot.com/2017/09/forecast-is-on-track-for-hurricane-irma.html

 

[Shawn]

The longer she stayed over Cuba, the further West she'd go. Don't forget those water temperatures on her way too. She'll likely be just fine strength wise.

 

[Arcc]

One thing I see that needs to really be watched. It looks like Cuba has really tightened the inner circulation. So while yes Irma is a large hurricane, the inner core may stay very small. In effect what I'm saying is do not be surprised to see this go gangbusters and intensify very quickly.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Looks like that would cause some significant wind and severe issues for north Georgia


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Yes as she weakens the wind field spread out and grow and some pretty good gust will be ongoing

 

[Storm5]

A faster inland track nondoubt increases the wind threat

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[Shawn]

Power outage map looks better and better. At 0z last night it was > 2 million. It's dropping as of 12z. The map with others are here: http://southernwx.com/irma/

 

[pcbjr]

Just an aside - the entire west coast of FL is going to be altered for a while ...

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Power outage map looks better and better. At 0z last night it was > 2 million. It's dropping as of 12z. The map with others are here: http://southernwx.com/irma/

Just a thought may want to add the SPC to this page for watches/severe weather disco's

Awesome quick ref page

 

[Storm5]

Guests please take 30 seconds and sign up !!!!



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[WeatherLC]

Power outage map looks better and better. At 0z last night it was > 2 million. It's dropping as of 12z. The map with others are here: http://southernwx.com/irma/

I wonder why? A faster storm coming from the gulf should cause more issues across northern portions not less?


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[Shawn]

I wonder why? A faster storm coming from the gulf should cause more issues across northern portions not less?


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I think areas being affected worse have less population. I can't say for sure!

Also, the SPC map idea, I think I will leave that stuff off because I do not want to risk imagery not updating with actual warning data for tornadoes etc. and being responsible.

 

[EastAtlwx]

I wonder why? A faster storm coming from the gulf should cause more issues across northern portions not less?


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Yeah. The latest GFS increased wind gusts around here in north Georgia to 60-70 mph

 

[Xtreme Weather]

I think areas being affected worse have less population. I can't say for sure!

Also, the SPC map idea, I think I will leave that stuff off because I do not want to risk imagery not updating with actual warning data for tornadoes etc. and being responsible.

Gotcha

 

[Xtreme Weather]

175mph sustained winds as TS moves over the FL Keys

 

[deltadog03]

A faster inland track nondoubt increases the wind threat

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yes sir!

 

[deltadog03]

Much faster updating SAT
Irma cloud tops are cooling very fast
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastconusband14.html

 

[malak05]

Yeah its about to take off it seems

 

[gawxnative]

That’s going to bring some higher wind speeds over larger area inland too. Especially with a stronger system as it might not spend as much time over the mainland

Chris. IMO it looks like it s wanting to "rabbit" inland much like Eloise, Opal and even Hugo.. and with the "full landfall" not until near the Big Bend, all of us "Georgia Folk" (and East Alabama) could be in for a ride.

 

[WeatherLC]

Chris. IMO it looks like it s wanting to "rabbit" inland much like Eloise, Opal and even Hugo.. and with the "full landfall" not until near the Big Bend, all of us "Georgia Folk" (and East Alabama) could be in for a ride.

What about Ivan? Ivan caused significant impacts in our area as well?

 

[malak05]

That's truly worst if it picks up speed at landfall on GFS track and power we got issues throughout GA and north of ATL

 

[gawxnative]

And Tornasdo Watch now for southern 1/3 of FLA until Midnight

 

[WeatherLC]

Guests this storm is far from over. Take 30 seconds to sign up!

 

[RBR71]

Probably a wobble but last frame it either moved or jogged north, either away enough to clear if from the Cuban coast..... on your mark get set go

 

[skywatcher]

Power outage map looks better and better. At 0z last night it was > 2 million. It's dropping as of 12z. The map with others are here: http://southernwx.com/irma/

I'm not seeing the outage estimate map in your link.

 

[WeatherLC]

I'm not seeing the outage estimate map in your link.

It's at the bottom

 

[skywatcher]

It's at the bottom

Operator error

 

[Tarheel1]

GFS 175mph right before landfall in FL! GFS you silly

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Probably a wobble but last frame it either moved or jogged north, either away enough to clear if from the Cuban coast..... on your mark get set go

Eye wrapping up nicely now still moving pretty much du W very little N component

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Yikes. Euro looks too be a bit far south of current position.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

HMON little more to the W thru 51

Almost gets into the GOM N of Tampa