Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[Myfrotho704_]

And there you go

 

[BelmontWX79]

Belmont, you are looking at 2 different models, the GFS and the (new and improved??) V16GFS

Yes the V16 that will go operational next month is showing strong CAD east of the mountains.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol UKMET might be the coldest model now, profiles are almost supportive of snow lol

 

[Chazwin]

I thought it was vanishing my friend? I read that in pervious post!

Nope... not according to NOAA...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Woah ?

 

[MSnowAtl]

Woah ?View attachment 73501View attachment 73502

And I still think this is underestimate the cold! Wow!!

 

[malak05]

Lol UKMET might be the coldest model now, profiles are almost supportive of snow lol View attachment 73500

Was it not the UKMET that was a full on Torch like 24-36 hours ago

 

[MSnowAtl]

Was it not the UKMET that was a full on Torch like 24-36 hours ago

This might translate to a good EURO run!

 

[packfan98]

Well, the UKMET put SC and GA back into play. I definitely wasn't expecting that. Here's the "snowfall" map, but most of this would be ip/fzrn:

 

[WxGSO]

Here's the Canadian freezing rain totals. Maybe not so outrageous given the temps. **but we all know this will change. Maybe even to have the CAD signal strengthen as we get closer. So maybe this stuff shifts south (which I wouldn't mind --> give me more sleet).
View attachment 73494

I agree with others saying someone is going to get hit very hard with FRZRN next week. I also agree about the globals WAY underestimating the low level cold air from CAD...they always do, so I expect the max to be closer to CLT and maybe even to CAE.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well, the UKMET put SC and GA back into play. I definitely wasn't expecting that. Here's the "snowfall" map, but most of this would be ip/fzrn:

Soundings
CAE
FAY
CLT
GSO

 

[MSnowAtl]

Well, the UKMET put SC and GA back into play. I definitely wasn't expecting that. Here's the "snowfall" map, but most of this would be ip/fzrn:

This will probably trend colder as we get closer also. Even for GA! GFS is on its on! Shocker!

 

[iGRXY]

The most likely outcome east of mountains for some. Probably onset ice to rain. With ice holding on longer In some areas like eastern NC. That would be my call at this hour today. On a side note I’m pretty dang satisfied this winter I’ve seen 3 snows this winter Gatlinburg Christmas Maggie valley Jan 8th-9th And Maggie valley this past weekend. So I can’t complain If we don’t see another snow this winter. But I always want more lol.


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Onset ice is almost never a thing. If you lock in a wedge, it is 9/10 going to last and over perform. Ice is the most likely setup here. Like a 50% ice storm, 30% rain, 20% snow on probabilities

 

[Faco Thomas]

This will probably trend colder as we get closer also. Even for GA! GFS is on its on! Shocker!

Is it possible that we see more of a snow and/or sleet event than a freezing event as we get closer for the Midlands of SC?

 

[iGRXY]

So add the UK to a winter storm group

 

[SnowNiner]

Well, the UKMET put SC and GA back into play. I definitely wasn't expecting that. Here's the "snowfall" map, but most of this would be ip/fzrn:

Keep that look on the UKMET and the bring it back on the EURO/EPS and maybe, maybe I look back up the cliff to think about possibly thinking about climbing back up.

Looks like a suppressed system too, not one where the SE ridge makes it cut.

 

[deltadog03]

Well this could be interesting View attachment 73495

ya, that might be...um....ya.....

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Is it possible that we see more of a snow and/or sleet event than a freezing event as we get closer for the Midlands of SC?

Maybe sleet, but absolutely not snow. The SER is pumping way too much warm air over the cold dome into the mid levels.

 

[Jessy89]

Well, the UKMET put SC and GA back into play. I definitely wasn't expecting that. Here's the "snowfall" map, but most of this would be ip/fzrn:

Definitely wasn’t expecting this look. Models won’t have a clue till the weekend. Geez


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[MSnowAtl]

Is it possible that we see more of a snow and/or sleet event than a freezing event as we get closer for the Midlands of SC?

It is more likely Freezing Rain with sleet in NC like Charlotte for now.