Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[BelmontWX79]

The difference between the old and future GFS is laughable!!! 144hrs
Old

V16

 

[LovingGulfLows]

GFS not very far away from heavy snow in Birmingham at hour 198 ? .

 

[iGRXY]

Canadian looks much better with the TPV at 96. It's stronger.

 

[Jessy89]

Almost seems like we are wasting a good pattern


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[Montanasnow30]

GFS not very far away from heavy snow in Birmingham at hour 198 ? .

Do you think the folks in central Alabama around the I20 corridor have any chance at something besides a cold rain?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Almost seems like we are wasting a good pattern


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It’s not a good pattern East of the mountains. Just some CAD

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Do you think the folks in central Alabama around the I20 corridor have any chance at something besides a cold rain?

If the GFS's depiction of the upper levels is close to right with the big southern system at hour 192. certainly if the SE ridge can relax some...then you would move everything to the east and get more colder air there.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

What’s funny is the Gfs has an almost identical storm right behind this one.. wow we’re getting busy ... something tells me if the first one throws down a blanket of ice the second one will either follow it’s tracks or be colder

 

[Montanasnow30]

So basically from the looks of the 12z gfs it looks like the same folks who is about to get a winter storm looks to get another one for the same areas again around the 18 and 19 I’m not buying that

 

[Stormlover]

man, I was in the wrong thread ..what a storm in a week

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This stuff hanging over the lakes isn’t it (or is it if you don’t want ice)

 

[crecre9]

This is closer for N AL.

 

[Montanasnow30]

man, I was in the wrong thread ..what a storm in a week View attachment 73481

Man I would hate to be in Birmingham on the edge of that if it was to verify but we know anything is possible

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Still the Canadian came in colder because it didn’t drop a piece of energy into the trough out west like last run

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Thunderstorms for me? for the win? LOL

View attachment 73461

So, 15 F in NW AL and 55 F in NE AL. Sounds reasonable.

 

[iGRXY]

Canadian was very close in the CAD regions. Still got major ICE down to the I40 corridor.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Ew

 

[Webberweather53]

This stuff hanging over the lakes isn’t it (or is it if you don’t want ice) View attachment 73482

Plenty of time for the Piedmont to trend towards sleet over freezing rain. Admittedly a little concerned down here towards FKAY with that look on the globals

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Plenty of time for the Piedmont to trend towards sleet over freezing rain. Admittedly a little concerned down here towards FKAY with that look on the globals

Damn sucks that snow is unlikely which such a deep CAD

 

[Webberweather53]

Damn sucks that snow is unlikely which such a deep CAD

Yeah except perhaps at the very onset for some when evaporative cooling can work some magic and keep more of the hydrometeors frozen