Pattern Januworry

[SD]

Well at least the main show starts here in reality, at hour 120, or at least sets us up View attachment 102092

And realistically the whole evolution has already started

 

[Ollie Williams]

Bro pulled out receipts from a year ago ???

Well, when Webber tells us this pattern is a 9/10 on a favorabllity scale, I’m bound to remember.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

And realistically the whole evolution has already started

Yeah the only way I see us “failing” is we delay the pac jet retraction even more (which seems unlikely) and or we retrograde the pattern in under a week out west between the 15-20th (which seems like is becoming more unlikely esp given the -NAO block showing up now)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well, when Webber tells us this pattern is a 9/10 on a favorabllity scale, I’m bound to remember.

Let’s just leave last winter behind that was a winter full of pain, one of the most miserable winters ever

 

[brendan123]

DT sounds excited...

 

[Stormdoc]

This GEFS run should be interesting, stronger +PNA ridge and stronger wave NE of Africa under the developing block might try to force a stronger -NAO sooner via wavebreaking View attachment 102086

Yeah, I was wondering how we could get to a -NAO in this pattern without a + SCAND, but that setup just might do the trick

 

[SD]

Well, when Webber tells us this pattern is a 9/10 on a favorabllity scale, I’m bound to remember.

It's interesting how so many ninas have this type of modeled look and similar evolution rolling from Dec into Jan but the results are so wildly different

 

[Broken024]

So how did GEFS end up looking late? TT stopped working.

 

[SD]

So how did GEFS end up looking late? TT stopped working.

 

[BullCityWx]

????

That’s a pretty strong signal for that lead time.

 

[BullCityWx]

Also noted that in the 16th-ish time period, there were 50% of the GFS members showing at least some snow accumulation.

 

[SD]

Also noted that in the 16th-ish time period, there were 50% of the GFS members showing at least some snow accumulation.

IS THIS GOOD?

 

[Stephenb888]

Also noted that in the 16th-ish time period, there were 50% of the GFS members showing at least some snow accumulation.

Can we see the maps?

 

[SD]

Can we see the maps?

P22 and I'll be good

 

[Stephenb888]

View attachment 102103

P22 and I'll be good

Lol this is exactly how I pictured these maps in my mind. Atleast there’s 2 on here that would do me right.

 

[SD]

Lol this is exactly how I pictured these maps in my mind. Atleast there’s 2 on here that would do me right.

Well just 24 hours ago they were basically blank so it's getting better. Just give me the cold and the setup at 500mb the rest will work out for someone on this board

 

[superjames1992]

This pattern is like playing Russian roulette with five bullets in six chambers. It’s gonna be tough to not get out of this without another storm.

We’ll find a way!

 

[Ron Burgundy]

one hell of a averaged out H5 pattern for jan 10th-20thView attachment 102077

Man, that takes me back to the early ‘80s when I was a yute!

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Well just 24 hours ago they were basically blank so it's getting better. Just give me the cold and the setup at 500mb the rest will work out for someone on this board

I hope the SC midlands can finally cash in??
Getting snow for us is like saying Miami Fl is about to see snow ???

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Hate to be the grim reaper but I wouldn’t be shocked if the next 3-5 systems all impacted Virginia south-west into Tennessee. Pattern will need to change for those E of the mtns. Of course it can happen like with our last week event, it’s a bit rare to have tornadoes and high wind and backside snow I say most the snow will scurt to our north or west again and again ?