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Pattern Januworry

There’s several close calls on the GFS. Storms will come and go on future model runs in this pattern


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El Nino during La Nina? This looks fun. We need to find another 20 day model showing this.

See the next blob of blue expanding in the Pacific? - that's the next Pac jet extension to keep the party going

4d0y1QZ.gif
 
El Nino during La Nina? This looks fun. We need to find another 20 day model showing this.

See the next blob of blue expanding in the Pacific? - that's the next Pac jet extension to keep the party going

4d0y1QZ.gif
That trend to a -NAO (esp on the GEFS) is making this really fun to watch how this evolves as well
 
I’m liking this pattern, but I’m not believing anyone unless we get within day 10 after last year.
Feels like I'm beating a dead horse, but -------- this pattern around and just after mid-January is so fooking favorable for snow in the south. Can't believe I'm saying this, but this pattern is so good that I'll actually be legitimately surprised this time around if it doesn't snow at some pt in the Jan 15-25 period for a majority of this board, details obviously remain to be seen. On a scale of 1-10 in terms of favorability, this planetary-scale pattern is at least a 9.

Keep in mind the GEFS has had a very strong warm bias this winter in the medium-extended range and it's already showing 5-day averaged 850mb temp anomalies of up to -3 to -4C in parts of the south in the 11-16.

I mean... just wow lol.



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View attachment 62424
This did not age well
 
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