Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Stephen, I'm just a novice but this map here looks good overallWhy does the cold always retreat when the precipitation starts rolling in? What does it take to have cold move in and stay in place the entire duration of a storm without warming up?
The low is in an excellent place to give the SE a big storm (you want it along the Gulf coast or just off). The big 1040 HP over Minnesota is supplying the cold air. This snapshot makes it look like a classic storm is coming for the SE. The main problem I see with this is that the HP really needs to be anchored somehow; either with another HP (a blocking high, which would give you a "banana high") or with what is known as a 50/50 low (50 degrees N lat and W long) over the north Atlantic; it's counter-clockwise spin would help keep our high in place longer and more pressed. All this would help to keep the low from cutting like it does. We want it to track East over N Florida, or possibly curving towards Savannah.
Check out this next image
Here the H has moved way out and the L cut from Galveston to Indianapolis. The H strengthened to a 1043 and acts as a CAD high resulting in the ice storm, but that is NOT what we want. Also looks like the H moved way too fast (no anchor) and the L just cut behind it. Anchor that H over the Great Lakes and you got a big snowstorm.
Honestly that second image looks a little wonky to me. If the H is really moving that fast it makes sense it's clockwise spin is going to help push that L into a sharp cut, but the southern stream energy looks like it would be just as fast. That's how I see it but maybe I am way off; others, please correct me if I'm out to lunch.