• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Januworry

GaWx said:
ATL area had two major icestorms in 2005. Then came February of 2014, which had major impacts for the southern half of ATL metro eastward to Augusta and Columbia. This storm killed the famous Eisenhower tree at Augusta National.
Click to expand...
I think I may remember the 2nd one you are talking about now. It was mostly sleet and a little snow and ice up here. If I remember right this one did not even make it the Raleigh area and maybe barely into the triad. The system dried up as it came east. I'm not sure if ATL got anything from the Dec 2005 storm or not, but I know it got Athens GA pretty good.
 
JHS said:
I think I may remember the 2nd one you are talking about now. It was mostly sleet and a little snow and ice up here. If I remember right this one did not even make it the Raleigh area and maybe barely into the triad. The system dried up as it came east. I'm not sure if ATL got anything from the Dec 2005 storm or not, but I know it got Athens GA pretty good.
Click to expand...

Yes, the ATL area got hit by the middle December of 2005 icestorm, mainly northside and further north. I experienced it a few miles north of the perimeter.

In a nearby location, I also experienced ZR in February of 2014 along with 2” of a combo of sleet and snow. There was a higher % as ZR further south and east.
 
It’s hard to really reserve excitement right now if you live in the south East especially for areas in the upper SE .. this pattern like we’ve said over and over is so ripe for potential .. models starting to want to zero in on a storm even before when we think the best pieces of the pattern are set up (January 13th per euro and close on the other models) still has kinks in it and it’s not a beautiful storm but to see models converging as we get into medium range for this time period is great and means absolutely amazing implications for our beautiful slot of January 16-20 .. my oh my what a time to be alive!
 
griteater said:
This may sound weird, but we have to work hard to earn a good winter storm in the SE. It's like trying to put together a team that can win the Super Bowl. I'm a Philadelphia Eagles fan even though I've lived in the Charlotte area almost all of my life. It took me 30 years of being a fan before I got to enjoy a Super Bowl win - makes it sweeter in the end
Click to expand...

Philly Fan here, too!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
YetAnotherRDUGuy said:
Yea from anecdotal observation, it seems that most of the time CAD NC areas get saved from what could be considered crippling ice effects because precip type trends more IP than ZR as it gets closer to onset. That's why I don't get too concerned about heavy ZR until it's shown within 3 days or so.
Click to expand...
typically when models model ZR for the CAD areas, its marginal at best, and marginal 32 degree rains don't make for bad ice storms.
 
Euro is unimpressive to me. We start here:

ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_6.png

That looks pretty good. An Aleutian low, nice PNA ridge, PV dropping out of Canada, etc.

Then, we get here:

ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_11.png

Maybe some onset ice. But I don't really care the 500 mb pattern. Meh. Just one run though.
 
Rain Cold said:
Euro is unimpressive to me. We start here:

View attachment 102028

That looks pretty good. An Aleutian low, nice PNA ridge, PV dropping out of Canada, etc.

Then, we get here:

View attachment 102029

Maybe some onset ice. But I don't really care the 500 mb pattern. Meh. Just one run though.
Click to expand...
Yeah gotta look at overall pattern and not specifics at this range and we got a whole lotta good pattern for something to shake out. Specifics right now are all noise
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top