Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Yep, hrrr wasn’t excited this run but I’m not to worried View attachment 69269View attachment 69270View attachment 69271

Yeah it will be interesting. At least they are all showing a band. It was also nice to see the 3K nam show some rain and snow showers in the piedmont tomorrow am

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

12k nam @Myfrotho704_ special!

 

[Deleted member 1449]

12Z NWS Blend

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

12Z NWS Blend

I find it funny that brad p hasn't posted this once. Yet for every other storm this was his go to map

 

[Myfrotho704_]

12Z NWS Blend

Surprised with this that they aren’t pushing advisories a bit south, just a SPS here

 

[cd2play]

They have advisories out for locations that are forecasting no accumulation. ⁉

 

[iGRXY]

Can say in my area both NAMs are way too warm for both temps and DPs for 10am from the most recent run. I’m sitting at 32/21 and I should be up to 36/24 according to them. Don’t know how that unfolds throughout the day but if it’s off on the high end by that much right now, then this will be something to watch closely

 

[iGRXY]

Also I didn’t think clouds were supposed to be rolling in this fast? It’s getting thick here

 

[SNOWMANN]

12Z NWS Blend

Just from experience i really like these maps espicially the little pockets of more snow and sleet along the BR at grandfather i cud see blowing rock hang on to more snow/sleet especially right along the BR. They look spot on as to what will more than likely occur.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gonna see what the 18z stuff does but might I might push things north a bit

 

[Mitch West]

My latest and last map. I'll probably just roll with this til the end.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I find it funny that brad p hasn't posted this once. Yet for every other storm this was his go to map

Lol yeah I’m kinda shocked I haven’t seen him use it much so far

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Then there's the RGEM. No front band whatsoever

 

[Deleted member 1449]

I do not believe this output from the RGEM. It is much colder at the surface and the mid levels than the rest. This is the FRAM output. Posted for posterity sake.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I do not believe this output from the RGEM. It is much colder at the surface and the mid levels than the rest. This is the FRAM output. Posted for posterity sake.

I think the location of the ice may be pretty accurate. Obviously the amounts are overdone

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I think the location of the ice may be pretty accurate. Obviously the amounts are overdone

I think there will be a fine line from troutman north to where to ice is going to be. I'm just hoping for an overachieving front side band of snow lol

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

One thing concerning I see from the RGEM is that it brings back more freezing rain Sunday night into Monday morning.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

So the RGEM doesn't show a front side band but shows this? Toss this model lol

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

One thing concerning I see from the RGEM is that it brings back more freezing rain Sunday night into Monday morning.

Yeah 3k nam shows widespread freezing drizzle Sunday night into Monday as well

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Yikes. Latest HRRR runs are not enthused with a front side band at all.