Have at it
Yeah, I think the very low dew points are the wildcard. Definitely out of my league in figuring out if an in-situ or hybrid CAD can win out. Here's Saturday's mid-day dewpoints (12z NAM):DP right before this are very very low in the teens and right around 20 degrees. Call me crazy but I would think that would be a very good start to look at. That makes me nervous that as we get closer and with snow cover to our north and a meso high continually showing up in the NE and MA that this one will trend colder as we get closer.
That's what you are looking forYeah, I think the very low dew points are the wildcard. Definitely out of my league in figuring out if an in-situ or hybrid CAD can win out. Here's Saturday's mid-day dewpoints (12z NAM):
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Trending further southMajor ice storm foothills and western piedmont:
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Agreed. Right now I say if you’re west of 77 and along/north of 85 this is one you’re going to want to watch closely. Don’t know if it’s a trend yet but the NAM came in with a much better push of dryer DPs and had ice holding on longer and much further south. Still 3 1/2 days left so plenty of changes left to go.Gonna take some big changes to get anything appreciable out of this for us here......been a very long time since we have seen a significant ice storm IMBY, that said the air mass in place is going to be pretty damn good, but need a lot of help to get more than a bit of snow and sleet going to rain this far east.
Not trying to make an imby post but I will be in Hendersonville fri and Saturday. Leave Sunday morning. Please tell me this ice storm comes Sunday after I leave?Trending further south