Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[LovingGulfLows]

 

[griteater]

wow, strong wrapped up wave tracks from N MS thru the NC Mtns, to just west of DC....character of this storm has changed a ton.

 

[FallsLake]

The low ends up running up through central VA switching the big cites to rain.

 

[Storm5]

Will be interesting to see if the gfs trends towards the euro or euro trends towards gfs . Something's gotta give


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[Flotown]

None of us will have hair by friday

 

[ajr]

Mostly done hereView attachment 103994

Definitely going to Avery county to chase

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Front end thump to rain for many in eastern NC

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I guess it can bomb and stay inland but not sure I’m sold on that just yet.

 

[KyloG]

This is going to be running up west of the apps tomorrow....jackpot Cleveland. ?

NW trend hasn't stopped....

 

[LukeBarrette]

The low ends up running up through central VA switching the big cites to rain.

Even has mixing issues here in Roanoke which is crazy. How much further NW is this going to track.

 

[Chandler]

Gross gross gross

 

[Rain Cold]

This is going to be running up west of the apps tomorrow....jackpot Cleveland. ?

NW trend hasn't stopped....
View attachment 103995

Yep. I hope people remember when they claim how awesome the Euro is how the GFS led the way with this storm.

 

[EmersonGA]

Up we go View attachment 103963

Very out of character for them. I’m guessing the next shift will start downplaying it.

 

[KyloG]

You can see why it's going more NW and it's probably right. These 50/50 lows always move away quicker as time gets closer.

Remember that time we were tracking a deep south, suppressed, winter event. ?

 

[Gopack42]

I moved to Emerald Isle this year, so that guarantees no snow here. Sorry to all you beach peeps wanting white sand.

 

[accu35]

Even with a cut, places west of apps should still do ok?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

The euro peaked almost a decade ago. It’s no better than any of these other models now a days

 

[LukeBarrette]

Even has mixing issues here in Roanoke which is crazy. How much further NW is this going to track.

Nearly sleet at 19 degrees

 

[KyloG]

Yep. I hope people remember when they claim how awesome the Euro is how the GFS led the way with this storm.

Oh lord...you just can't help but laugh. Can't take any of these runs seriously until the trend stops...right now this is headed to Chicago.

 

[ryan1234]

Good lord, some of you do really do have this “ride or die” mentality when it comes to following each model run and grasping at straws when it comes to hugging one suite. I get it, we all want snow. But it’s Tuesday and this storm is still 6 days away. This is why it’s never good to be in the bullseye 6-7 days out, also. Still a long ways to go on this system. Throwing in the towel at this is semi ridiculous. Chill out and if by tomorrow night Thursday things are trending good or bad, depending on your location, then you all start preparing to cliff dive. Until then, relax.


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[Mitch West]

Good lord, some of you do really do have this “ride or die” mentality when it comes to following each model run and grasping at straws when it comes to hugging one suite. I get it, we all want snow. But it’s Tuesday and this storm is still 6 days away. This is why it’s never good to be in the bullseye 6-7 days out, also. Still a long ways to go on this system. Throwing in the towel at this is semi ridiculous. Chill out and if by tomorrow night Thursday things are trending good or bad, depending on your location, then you all start preparing to cliff dive. Until then, relax.


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Got to agree, it’s not like it’s shifting NW 48 hours before the storm.