Me too, man. I don’t want one grain of sleet. It’s close!Hush!!!! Lol hopefully the nam trends continue and can keep that warm nose at bay. We might make a run for it. I'm sweating bullets.
Me too, man. I don’t want one grain of sleet. It’s close!Hush!!!! Lol hopefully the nam trends continue and can keep that warm nose at bay. We might make a run for it. I'm sweating bullets.
Thru 72 I'd say once again the ensembles overall have a colder look, with more frozen precip (edit: colder than the Op still not the best track for central NC)
I’m just saying this based on typical Miller A climo, since that’s what the clear trend is.… I really don’t think you’re going to have a huge ice accrual up you way. Some ZR mixed in at times yes, but nothing to cause widespread damage. Typically the area of major ZR in a Miller A in the Carolinas is in a much more narrow area than what is being depicted on these ZR accumulation maps, and I see that setting up close to the Hwy 1 corridor . You typically will see a much wider area of sleet dominate, and there can be a lot of it.I am just north of CLT in Huntersville. Looks to be a lot of IP or ZR around me based on the track and some soundings. Concerned for sure about losing power. If we can get that low to track a little further south or east it might change us to some more snow.
I've had ensembles all show me over 8 inches 24 hours before an event. I got a trace.I was burned by the GEFS back in Jan 2016 so I don't know....most of those panels look amazing for my backyard, but I'm always going to be suspect of GFS ensemble members.
Me too, man. I don’t want one grain of sleet. It’s close!
I'm in ballantyne, and I'm sure my weather will be similar to yours.. do you think we're going to have crippling freezing rain?I’m just saying this based on typical Miller A climo, since that’s what the clear trend is.… I really don’t think you’re going to have a huge ice accrual up you way. Some ZR mixed in at times yes, but nothing to cause widespread damage. Typically the area of major ZR in a Miller A in the Carolinas is in a much more narrow area than what is being depicted on these ZR accumulation maps, and I see that setting up close to the Hwy 1 corridor . You typically will see a much wider area of sleet dominate, and there can be a lot of it.
If someone in this area can find a way to stay all or mostly snow there’s going to be some big boy totals. Keep seeing lollipops in this area. NAM was concerning with temp profiles but from what I can remember in the past it’s a little amp happy towards the end of its range. View attachment 104985