Looked like something rounding the base of the trof in oklahoma
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
With cold shot even remotely close to this and the southern stream being as active as it has been (per usual for a Nino), you gotta wonder if something is going to show up later in week 2.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The tail end of these big arctic blasts are usually when southern US overrunning events like to strike.
I'd be on the lookout for something once this cold shot begins to shift towards Atlantic Canada & New England late in week 2.
I'd be on the lookout for something once this cold shot begins to shift towards Atlantic Canada & New England late in week 2.
The models are doing a pretty bad job trying to hold consistency. Obviously the ENS are the best approach right now, but even then they are not handling the changes well. Another variation of model solutions again.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Good golly miss Molly.
The 12z ECMWF operational is definitely not out in left field in the extended.
The 12z ECMWF operational is definitely not out in left field in the extended.
griteater
Member
When is your Tahoe trip Delta? Seems like you mentioned sometime soon. Keeping a close eye on things I'm sure
If that much snow actually does fall, that is gonna be blistering cold.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The 12z EPS evolution is almost exactly what you want to see for a southern slider later in week 2.
NCSNOW
Member
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Well we are crossing 10 day mark on pattern chase today. Better than day 15. Tommorow starts the journey to get it inside 5 days. At that point by the middle of the week, we will be chasing a 7 to 10 day out storm hopefully. IM PREDICITING SD has to start a storm thread by the end of this upcoming week for frozen. Meantime we get to clean up from straight line winds this Tuesday.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Gotta get that cold to actually slide east of the Apps though. It seems so hard to get that to happen anymore.
We are entering Banger territory folks..
Watching the control(sort of like in a way you'd watch the long range gfs) and it just dropped the arctic hammer.
griteater
Member
A beautiful run of the Euro Ensemble Mean rolling into the weather center
griteater
Member
Some snow action showing up on the EPS post cutter
Can clearly see the snowpack on the temp anom means. Wow 
But wait, there's more. Not one 1060 high, but two if you order right now!
Sure seems like EPS is a good 24-36 hours quicker than the op.
Very soon. Looking all of y’all’s very good work and analysis on the pattern for sure. Jan 13-20. Hoping to line up a storm or 2. Some of the ENS members are off the chart, then like less than 6”. Lmao.
griteater
Member
Agree, the Euro Control is good to look at...it just extends the Euro Op out some days as they are usually similar at Day 10.
And yeah, this Euro Ctrl run was a massive barney cold outbreak after the cutter which would be a one and done as it would wreck the GL block post cold outbreak as Fro has mentioned before
