Pattern Jammin January 2023

[NickyBGuarantee]

CMC has thrown the proverbial BONE

 

[Rain Cold]

IMO, what we really need to see to get some legitimate chances for those of us east of the mountains is some better snowpack in the northeast. It’s absolutely putrid right now especially considering we’re going into mid-January. Hopefully they to cash in later this week, so that we have a better chance at scoring on some CAD opportunities.

Snowpack to the north and northwest is good for cold air maintenance as it travels south. It's particularly important when we're dealing with marginal air. It would be nice and would help mitigate the fact that we have very little snow cover to the north if we had some legitimate cold air around. But alas, c'est la vie.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Washington DC snow goobers just got canadianed

 

[BullCityWx]

That euro control run did the same exact thing, just a little further S&W

Washington DC snow goobers just got canadianedView attachment 129761

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC looks good across the entire spine, Gatlinburg jackpotted

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

What in the great googly Moogly …

 

[Fountainguy97]

I don't think many people realize just how close Northern NC is to the game this weekend.

A couple small shifts and a swath of NC is getting pasted. (No weenie) Our energy is still offshore for another day.

 

[CaryWx]

What in the great googly Moogly … View attachment 129764

Is this realistic you think? Just seems a bit winter impractical

 

[Chazwin]

What in the great googly Moogly … View attachment 129764

This has got to be saved to the model archive. Now we can say “remember when the GFS had a category 1 hurricane approaching the Carolina coast at 222 hours in mid January?”

 

[rburrel2]

long range 12z GFS is titillating.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

What in the great googly Moogly … View attachment 129764

GFS went insane with blocking. IDK, but if there's any truth to what it's cooking up, that's a pattern changer.

 

[NCSNOW]

12z Ukmet

12z Canadian

The Canadian pivots and gets some slight neg tilt, Ukie stays neutral tilt next couple frames.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Gfs looking more like what EPS and other ensemble runs have looked in the future so that’s good to see

 

[Somosdel]

Gfs looking more like what EPS and other ensemble runs have looked in the future so that’s good to see View attachment 129770View attachment 129771

This is why monthlies aren’t worth a darn. We all know they have major pattern issues over 5 days. Why trust monthlies? Hoping we see more agreement w Dr Euro as time progresses.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

???

 

[Snownut]

Thus wouldn't take much more digging and It would bring Lower Elevations of NC and upstate Sc into play.

Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk

 

[SnowNiner]

???

Still looks positive tilt and progressive to me.

 

[KyloG]

mildly interesting

 

[Metwannabe]

mildly interesting

View attachment 129772

Had the gif cued up to post exact same thing lol. Yes mildly interesting indeed

 

[Webberweather53]

Gfs looking more like what EPS and other ensemble runs have looked in the future so that’s good to see View attachment 129770View attachment 129771

I hate to be that guy again, but the +PNA and eastern trough is also nice & all on the EPS, but the air mass just isn't very cold, or should I say cold enough to yield snow down in the southern US thru ~Jan 24-25 ish when moisture is also present.

Normally, that would be a reasonably exciting pattern for us but considering how little snow cover there is to our north after this massive warm spell to go along w/ the amount of warm air that needs to be wiped out before we even think about winter weather, I'm not impressed.