Tropical Hurricane Idalia

[Tarheel1]

Who came up with this name? seriously, never heard of it and I have many Amigas/Amigos.

They have retired a lot of I names, it’s getting dudficult to come up with ‘l’ names

 

[Rain Cold]

12K already coming in east of 12Z. 0Z, 6Z, 12Z, and now 18Z have all stepped east, in terms of landfall.

 

[$alt]

Kinda pointless to speak pressures based on models like the NAM but 920s showing up early on per 3KM. Stronger storm will pull East one would think.

edit: 914mb

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Is some of this rain in Alabama and Georgia right now the outer bands of Idalia ?

 

[NewnanWetather]

Is some of this rain in Alabama and Georgia right now the outer bands of Idalia ?

No it is not

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

No it is not

It's moving from South to North so thats why I was wondering.

 

[Chazwin]

It's moving from South to North so thats why I was wondering.

It looks to me like it may be the beginning of a PRE event

 

[NCSNOW]

Latest GOM IR Loop

GOES-East - Sector view: Gulf of Mexico - Band 13 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

Near real-time publication of GOES-East and GOES-West images from NOAA/NESDIS/STAR

www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov

View of both: What a Beaut!

 

[Chazwin]

12K already coming in east of 12Z. 0Z, 6Z, 12Z, and now 18Z have all stepped east, in terms of landfall.

Another I’m noticing is that it’s moving a bit faster over land… at least through hour 30 which is all I’ve got up to now. It’s about 30-40 miles further NE at 0z Thursday than it was on the last run. So that tells me, the more it slows down after landfall, the further inland in SC it should be. Either way, I doubt expect the center to be more than 35-40 miles inland in SC.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Models are doing the back and forth dance with it going west one run and back east the next.

 

[Chazwin]

It's moving from South to North so thats why I was wondering.

Yes… it definitely looks like a PRE developing. None of the models have really picked up on it which is fairly typical. It’ll be interesting to see how far north it moves… it’s got plenty of juicy air ahead of it.

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[jeremyt]

West to East wobbles, maybe why NHC hasn’t updated their track? ??‍

 

[NoSnowATL]

I wouldn't look at the nam for tropical systems.

Models are doing the back and forth dance with it going west one run and back east the next.

 

[Chazwin]

Very interesting reading on the NWS Tallahassee site… there has never been a major hurricane to make landfall in Appalachee Bay in recorded history.

 

[NoSnowATL]

West to East wobbles, maybe why NHC hasn’t updated their track? ??‍

18z should tell us everything we need.

 

[NCSNOW]

Saw this Graph. Passing along

 

[NoSnowATL]

The NHC track says it should be moving NE any moment. Its moving N if not NNW.

 

[Snowfan]

URNT15 KNHC 292024
AF304 1110A IDALIA HDOB 12 20230829
201430 2613N 08509W 6950 03092 9948 +099 //// 050033 034 032 004 01
201500 2611N 08508W 6946 03093 //// +098 //// 051033 034 031 004 01
201530 2610N 08506W 6947 03086 9923 +109 //// 049036 036 033 002 01
201600 2609N 08505W 6947 03080 9915 +110 //// 047035 037 034 001 01
201630 2608N 08504W 6948 03073 9906 +112 //// 046036 038 037 004 01
201700 2606N 08502W 6947 03068 //// +096 //// 042039 040 039 005 01
201730 2605N 08501W 6947 03059 //// +095 //// 036039 042 046 007 01
201800 2604N 08459W 6952 03045 //// +100 //// 031043 045 049 012 01
201830 2602N 08458W 6952 03035 //// +091 //// 037041 042 051 010 01
201900 2601N 08457W 6957 03012 9819 +108 //// 035045 046 054 004 01
201930 2600N 08455W 6945 03007 9799 +134 +129 035048 050 057 005 00
202000 2559N 08454W 6951 02979 //// +111 //// 034050 053 063 009 01
202030 2557N 08452W 6948 02966 //// +119 //// 030033 046 062 008 01
202100 2556N 08451W 6955 02941 //// +114 //// 039018 026 033 007 01
202130 2555N 08449W 6949 02942 9728 +137 //// 018006 015 019 001 01
202200 2553N 08448W 6947 02941 9715 +148 +137 251009 013 018 001 00
202230 2552N 08446W 6952 02938 9705 +160 +124 233016 018 017 002 00
202300 2551N 08445W 6947 02944 9708 +159 +122 228024 028 022 001 00
202330 2549N 08444W 6950 02942 9707 +163 +117 230035 037 028 001 00
202400 2548N 08442W 6947 02953 9717 +160 +120 240046 052 042 002 00

970.5 mb.

 

[Chazwin]

The NHC track says it should be moving NE any moment. It’s moving N if not NNW.

Just a thought, but could how strong Franklin has gotten helped to strengthen the ridge between the two storms and causing Idalia to stay further west longer?