Tropical Hurricane Idalia

[iGRXY]

I definitely think we have a storm over 100mph now.

 

[Snowfan]

Recon should be in the storm around 4 PM.

 

[Chazwin]

I definitely think we have a storm over 100mph now.

They are putting it at 90mph with the 2pm ET update, but I think you’re right. It looks like it’s going bombs away now.

 

[Arcc]

They are putting it at 90mph with the 2pm ET update, but I think you’re right. It looks like it’s going bombs away now.

Honestly around 90mph looks right based on IR. Looks to be more steady strengthening as this point. The big show should start late tonight.

 

[Nerman]

Euro moved to the western edge of the cone

 

[Metwannabe]

Euro moved to the western edge of the cone
View attachment 136625

Yeah I see no reason NHC does not shift their track west some at this point. I don't think there is a single model left that has it going over their track

 

[NoSnowATL]

NHC will nudge the cone west tonight. I mean which model went east at 12z? No way they leave it as is with this west support.

 

[$alt]

By 2PM today; she should be quite impressive. Anything earlier than that; Bonus.

Right on time ?

 

[Arcc]

Just food for thought, that IR is so similar to Harvey, Michael, Ida and Ian at this stage. Almost the same bumbling look that never fully closes off the eyewall yet allows for steady strengthening until the storm pulls it all together before landfall; thus the ERC comes too late. Not good.

 

[BHS1975]

Tallahasse bout to get flattened.


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[Brick Tamland]

Just food for thought, that IR is so similar to Harvey, Michael, Ida and Ian at this stage. Almost the same bumbling look that never fully closes off the eyewall yet allows for steady strengthening until the storm pulls it all together before landfall; thus the ERC comes too late. Not good.

I think we're at the point now where we should just expect systems in the Gulf to do this.

 

[Arcc]

I think we're at the point now where we should just expect systems in the Gulf to do this.

The interesting part is for close to two decades it was the opposite. You always had gulf storms weakening at landfall. Very interesting cycle somewhere in here.

Edit: Now Charley was the outlier.

 

[BHS1975]

I think we're at the point now where we should just expect systems in the Gulf to do this.

Folks gonna have to build concrete and stone houses.


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[HugeSnowStick]

I told you guys last night this was going to go more westerly.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Bouy 42026 is approximately the same distance east of the center as Tampa will be later tonight. Tampa once again looks to dodge the bullet.

NDBC - Station 42026 Recent Data

National Data Buoy Center - Recent observations from buoy 42026 (25.171N 83.475W) - C22 - Loop Current Pressure Point Buoy, 70m Isobath.

www.ndbc.noaa.gov

 

[jeremyt]

Yeah I see no reason NHC does not shift their track west some at this point. I don't think there is a single model left that has it going over their track

I think it’s due to them moving it every update in the past. I agree that it’s definitely west of guidance though!

 

[Metwannabe]

I told you guys last night this was going to go more westerly.

You still going Panama City to Atlanta?

 

[NCSNOW]

Who came up with this name? seriously, never heard of it and I have many Amigas/Amigos.

 

[Brent]

Who came up with this name? seriously, never heard of it and I have many Amigas/Amigos.

It doesn't help were running out of I names so many have been retired

 

[HugeSnowStick]

You still going Panama City to Atlanta?

Maybe not that far west. Apalachicola, then NNE.