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Tropical Hurricane Ian

You know looking at IR and radar, are we about to see the first time(at least to my knowledge) landfall of a annular hurricane.?I don’t know how you get much closer, the eyewall is at least 1/3 of the storm and the outer bands have decreased substantially from last night.
 
Recon just measured 160 kt flight level and 135 kt surface winds in west eyewall.
:eek:

recon_NOAA2-2809A-IAN_timeseries.png
 
635 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...IAN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST...

Recent data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph (250
km/h). A special advisory will be issued by 7 AM EDT (1100 UTC) to
reflect this change and update the forecast.


SUMMARY OF 635 AM EDT...1035 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 82.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...936 MB...27.73 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake
 
Not surprised Ian keeps getting stronger up to landfall. I said from the beginning this is what we have seen with hurricanes the past few years, especially in the Gulf. I think it's the new norm with hurricanes in our current climate. I think it could keep a lot of its strength after it crosses FL, too, depending on how fast it is moving.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Not surprised Ian keeps getting stronger up to landfall. I said from the beginning this is what we have seen with hurricanes the past few years, especially in the Gulf. I think it's the new norm with hurricanes in our current climate. I think it could keep a lot of its strength after it crosses FL, too, depending on how fast it is moving.
Click to expand...

Not sustainable either.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Cat 5 for sure.. one for the history books… I sure hope those people saw Michael and Katrina and got the heck out long ago!!!
 
I wonder what the storm surge will now be in the worst areas?
It Was 12, 15 possible now with the strengthening?
 
So, in a storm of modeling inconsistency....I would say 1, that I can think of quickly, was the fact that this area near the coastline was the "BEST" shot at keeping strength and or strengthening to landfall. ie the only spot in the GOM that this wasn't going to get torn apart by shear and dry air *ie NGOM*
 
This is truly terrible. Hundreds of billions in damage likely, and of course the human toil we shall see.
I'm two states away and my ems company has already been called and told to be prepared to send help.
 
This could be an instance where they go back and reclassify as a cat 5 at the end of the season but this thing is coming to a crawl and has hours over water. Storms firing on the east and southeast side now so looks like the eastern eyewall is catching up to the west. With a fully closed eye and one that’s clearing out, cat 5 seems almost certain at this point.
 
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