Until this thing starts sustaining convection, tracking will be a nightmare. It could be tugged by any large convective plumes that form.
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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
Because he lives west. You can pretty much tell where someone lives without even looking based on where they think the storm is going. Lol
It’s because it’s not going east lol
ForsythSnow
Moderator
East west east west, let's not resort to one worders or one liners that add nothing to the discussion.
smast16
Member
Look how most don't or barely attain hurricane strength.
Are we going to have a failure to launch, where Ian takes so long to organize it doesn't have enough time?
Based on recon and satellite presentation, for the first time, the storm finally has stacked its COC.
It'll be interesting to see how long it takes to intensify given the near-perfect atmospheric conditions given that the center is still so broad.
It'll be interesting to see how long it takes to intensify given the near-perfect atmospheric conditions given that the center is still so broad.
Been that way for a few days
Yesterday's gfs runs had this in the low to mid 990s by now. All hail the king womp oof
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
BHS1975
Member
BHS1975
Member
The ocean is stupid warm. Needs a decent core to take advantage though.
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I don't think any of them do until we have a real center and consolidated system. There's more and more consistency and agreement for the FL peninsula track vs through the gulf into the western panhandle but consistency can be wrong
If it can ever resolve its own internal issues it'll have a good charge to go bonkers but its in no hurry to do so
Bingo!!
Well if the the hurricane models are to be believed, the epic collapse at the northern gulf will be as incredible as the future RIC. Latest HWRF is “probably” still a hurricane with a completely exposed center and the HMON is a 45-50knt TS.
Brick Tamland
Member
GFS looks way west of the other models and the NHC forecasted track. Also looks like we still don't know if it will stay inland when it makes landfall or go out to sea and possibly back into NC.
too much competing energy right now.
Hurricane suite says EURO is bonkers.
