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Tropical Hurricane Ian
- Thread starter severestorm
- Start date
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- Tags
- tropical
Shaggy
Member
satellite is rapidly improving if you ask me. Cloud field is filling in and expanding and banding is really looking better.We should also now have a definitive center for the models to lock on to.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Good news for Atlanta. Looks like I'll be able to go to the Braves game next Saturday.
Uh, I wouldn’t count on that. Other models are further west.
iGRXY
Member
Will be interesting to see how quick high schools move their games Friday because you know it’s coming. I see a lot of Thursday games coming
Friday might still be a washout. Looks like there might be a doubleheader Saturday or Sunday
Anyone know what this little feature is?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah, my thought when I was watching the GFS was "if it plays out this way, there's a zero percent chance the Braves will be playing on Friday."
I think that actually might be a reasonable track to look for too.
Euro still eastern track with landfall on W Central FL coast. It's slight east of yesterday's 12z, slight west of its 0z but basically minimal changes in track
JHS
Member
Goes in near Tampa on the Euro
It’s interesting the Euro continues to stick with the Tampa landfall for the past few days.
BHS1975
Member
Ukmet agrees. I wouldn't bet against that combo.
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Agreed
If its 12z ensemble members and mean are just east of the Op I’d give it even more weight vs a central Panhandle type solution. Euro and UK are pretty close inside day 5 and that’s a potent combo as mentioned.
Let him go and pray for Pneumonia!
On the rain front, the only frame of the GFS Shetley sees!?
Brent
Member
Very hard to go against the Euro especially if the other models are starting to shift east. Just my thoughts. I'm not getting rain from this either way ?
This may be the long feared Tampa strike if it actually goes off
This may be the long feared Tampa strike if it actually goes off
Here is my take attm. We finally have a good center * I think* to track now. solid NW movement it seems. Maybe almost a NNW at times?
Henry2326
Member
The thing that has me scratching my head is while the NHC is showing a major along the path, nothing close shows up in the Euro path.
We all know that a major tends to do different things to forecast as compared a weaker storm.
I'm not sure how to reconcile it.
We all know that a major tends to do different things to forecast as compared a weaker storm.
I'm not sure how to reconcile it.
Euro says front misses Ian pretty handily , just want to level-set on what East means. It does not mean much if any opportunity for him to get in to the ATL, atleast per this run. Kinda stalls in the SE for a couple days before lifting out through the OH Valley—>NE. We would have several days of onshore flow, don't see much SVR verbatim. N GA and W NC would be spots for greatest flood potential.