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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

Tarheel1 said:
The only real severe threat won’t be until pop up summertime storms start in May-July. As per usual, the -NAO takes over in April, west ridge , east trough dominate the pattern, snooze fest on severe. And if Nino starts ramping up, Hurricane season will be a dud also.
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I hope this is what happens. Maybe Tennessee can have another lackluster year in the severe department. I use to like severe weather when I first moved to Tennessee as even thunder was quite unusual in socal. But after multiple seasons of close calls and seeing the devastation and death that severe weather brings up close I’m no longer a fan of it. The 2008 Super Tuesday outbreak just missed my town as tornadoes struck south and just north of me. 2 days later I drove to Macon county Tennessee and could not believe my eyes. Houses completely destroyed, trees ripped from the ground and lives lost made it look more like a war zone then a small southern town. I’m not saying people who are interested in or that like severe weather are wrong as the weather will do what it will do no matter what you want or like. Just for me personally I will never again hope for or get excited about true severe weather. As far as a good strong summer afternoon thunderstorm goes I love those all day everyday. Especially at night time when they light up the sky.
 
Brent said:
Thursday Night-Tuesday morning

Probably gonna be 60 degrees when I land I would consider any snow a win

and now the 12z Euro has a snowstorm too o_O
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Sun angle and ground temps will kill that don't you know lol

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tennessee storm said:
February looked good also. See how that pan out. March going be good for severe weather as we roll into the month. Bring on spring . Ready ...
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After posting about how severe weather is only weeks away since November you are bound to be right one of these times.
 
Have a good trip Brent
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QUOTE="ATLwxfan, post: 93878, member: 72"]This has been in the cards for a while. More interested in seeing what happens when the pin wheel PV let’s up and we can beat back the SER.
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I do not disagree it's been in the cards, but "for a while" is relative; less than 2 weeks ago things were looking a bit different ... o_O ... but now that the hand has been dealt, yup, cards are on the table for at least 10 plus days ... :confused:

Now I'll

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Not even the wedge could keep us out of the 50's in the heart of winter today in the upstate

PV split FTL :(
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Not been a whole lot of wedging this winter. With all the cold to the North and in Canada, I thought for sure we’d score a good CAD event with lots of ice of , maybe next year!
 
Tarheel1 said:
Not been a whole lot of wedging this winter. With all the cold to the North and in Canada, I thought for sure we’d score a good CAD event with lots of ice of , maybe next year!
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Of course, it will be enough just to make baseball games miserable to go to come Spring. It will also show up in time to crush our thunderstorm chances.

Again, thanks everyone for getting along during this time. I know historically, people can get snappy and you have all been more than impressive with your conversation and respect with each other!
 
Tarheel1 said:
Not been a whole lot of wedging this winter. With all the cold to the North and in Canada, I thought for sure we’d score a good CAD event with lots of ice of , maybe next year!
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Zero blocking. But a little bird told me the NAO looked to go negative at the beginning of March! Just in time to lock seasonal upper 50's in place..
 
pcbjr said:
QUOTE="ATLwxfan, post: 93878, member: 72"]This has been in the cards for a while. More interested in seeing what happens when the pin wheel PV let’s up and we can beat back the SER.
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I do not disagree it's been in the cards, but "for a while" is relative; less than 2 weeks ago things were looking a bit different ... o_O ... but now that the hand has been dealt, yup, cards are on the table for at least 10 plus days ... :confused:

Now I'll

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Yep, I remember the big Wow I gave at a 1065, or 1080, lol, or something crazy, high blasting down in the recent long range. Even if the trend is toward warmer the swings can bring a hammer blow. In my old age I don't need the constant chance of frozen, and bitter cold, I can make due with the abnormal occurrence...three days of "that's never happened before". I never give up until Easter, on frozen, and mid April on cold air, and some amazing, abnormal, anomalous, head exploding weather event. And in the longer run if Laki, or Katla go off, and Katla is over due, we could see an ice age in the crazy range on Goofy, lol. Might take a year, or two :)
 
ForsythSnow said:
We'll see, but the NAO has the highest tendency to trend positive it seems. Also blocking does not guarantee a storm. Just weenie hype from my perspective.
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All we got is weenie hope! Tomorrow is mid February, and I’m staring at 80 by Thur or Fri possibly! :(
 
I am taking Thursday off to take advantage of the weather and make a batch of beer. Maybe get some woodworking projects started as well. 18Z ICON looked a little colder for weekend system and happy hour GFS has ice in western NC. Fun spring weather!
 
whamby said:
3 years ago today...
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LOL this month was so good (southeast wise in general, not area wise, even considering that my location now was not my location in '15) I think it made most of the SE use up it's February quota for a while. Maybe in 2020...that quota will be empty.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
LOL this month was so good (southeast wise in general, not area wise, even considering that my location now was not my location in '15) I think it made most of the SE use up it's February quota for a while. Maybe in 2020...that quota will be empty.
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Yes, and when I wished for winter weather in early February that year, I said "just give me one good winter storm, and Duke can win the National Championship for all I care" ... aaannnnnnnnnddd of course, Duke went on to win it that year.
 
A few times a year I will say i don't like wedges.... this is one of those
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00z GFS is showing MBY some love with two 43 degree wedge rainstorms within a 48 hour period..someone please wake me up when Failing February is over :(
 
Brent said:
darn Euro teasing me with this NYC snowstorm that probably won't verify :p
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Me too. It actually could be borderline snow with a period of decent rates. NAM looks icy. Curious to see what it looks like on RGEM when in range. any NW trend and I am out of the game though. So another very cold rain looks like a good bet.
 
Nomanslandva said:
Me too. It actually could be borderline snow with a period of decent rates. NAM looks icy. Curious to see what it looks like on RGEM when in range. any NW trend and I am out of the game though. So another very cold rain looks like a good bet.
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yeah I've been thinking its borderline in NYC but the Euro has heavy snow even south of DC and NYC is sitting right at 31-32 during it

Hmmm

Well if it does snow I'm headed to Central Park :p
 
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