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Pattern Freezing Ferocious February

Look at this current temp map, something wrong with that picture....

current-temperature.png
 
GaWx said:
KATL ending up with the record warmest Feb (since 1879) is now a virtual certainty. The latest Radiant Solutions (pro met group) forecast is for an incredible 57.4 (same as Tuesday forecast and ~10 F above normal), which would obliterate the current warmest Feb of 56.1 (set just last Feb.). There is still a chance at tieing or beating the warmest met winter month on record of 57.6 (Dec of 2015) since the forecast is so close now. Amazing times in wx history!


Edit: today's KATL low of 65 ties the warmest low on record (back to 1879) for ANY day between 12/29 and 3/17, inclusive!
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Radiant Solutions' morning update has KATL's Feb now up to 57.5, which is just shy of the all-time warmest met winter month going back to 1879 of Dec of 2015, which was 57.6! Also, this will obliterate the current Feb record of 56.1, which was set just last Feb! Lastly, the 17+ warming from Jan's 40.4 to Feb will become the new record largest warming by a good margin back to 1879! The current record warming is 15.8, set way back in 1884,
 
King Jon told me I had to post in here! That non existent SE ridge, is really non existent! Marvelous March will save us Jon said it’s gonna be cold, so it has to be!:confused:
 
whamby said:
I know for sure we tied our all time Met Winter temp of 79.. we may have clipped 80.
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At first I thought you must have the wrong information for the all time high in February for Chattanooga but you are indeed correct. It’s strange because White House has hit 80+ degrees twice in the history of February. We hit 81 in 1962 and 82 in 1996. During this current record warmth I’ve reached 75 and 78 on the warmest days so far.
 
olhausen said:
Well it is looking more and more likely that it will be cold to start the month of March.
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Yeah, 5-10 below avg high will be awesome! Put me at 50-55 chilly degrees for highs at GSP
 
olhausen said:
At first I thought you must have the wrong information for the all time high in February for Chattanooga but you are indeed correct. It’s strange because White House has hit 80+ degrees twice in the history of February. We hit 81 in 1962 and 82 in 1996. During this current record warmth I’ve reached 75 and 78 on the warmest days so far.
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yep, based on NWS's NOWDATA, which has CHA's weather history going back to 1879.. I'm there a lot, looking stuff up.
 
28E4051B-E082-45DF-A178-3445EF36B2A9.png Another unfortunate side effect of Fab February :(
 
just utterly phenomenal:

2018-02-21 80 66 73.0 27.2 0 8 0.00 0.0 0
2018-02-22 81 60 70.5 24.4 0 6 0.07 0.0 0
2018-02-23 81 56 68.5 22.1 0 4 0.00 M M
 
Today at my location will make the 7th 80+ in a row and the 10th of the last 11 being 80+! Much of the SE will end up with its warmest Feb on record (since 1870s) by a wide margin beating last year. At least we have that to talk about. Getting the warmest met winter month on record will of course be tougher but is still possible in some areas. Amazing times we're living in and an amazing winter here going from coldest week in 41 years first week in Jan (along with biggest winter storm by far in decades) as well as an overall cold Jan to record warm Feb by wide margin! I think the analogs (at least what I considered analogs before the winter started) have had a good winter for a change. No "butts" about it, Mack. ;)
 
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It is already 83 at noon here! Can you say all time record high for entire met winter in danger of being tied or even broken? That record is 86.

Edit: Actually, from Nov 3rd thru March 8th, SAV has not had anything warmer than 86 since records started in the 1870s!
 
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My Bermuda grass is greening up! This is ridiculous!
 
GaWx said:
Today at my location will make the 7th 80+ in a row and the 10th of the last 11 being 80+! Much of the SE will end up with its warmest Feb on record (since 1870s) by a wide margin beating last year. At least we have that to talk about. Getting the warmest met winter month on record will of course be tougher but is still possible in some areas. Amazing times we're living in and an amazing winter here going from coldest week in 41 years first week in Jan (along with biggest winter storm by far in decades) as well as an overall cold Jan to record warm Feb by wide margin! I think the analogs (at least what I considered analogs before the winter started) have had a good winter for a change. No "butts" about it, Mack. ;)
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GaWx said:
It is already 83 at noon here! Can you say all time record high for entire met winter in danger of being tied or even broken? That record is 86.
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Larry,
Records, and aberrations, especially those like what we're currently experiencing, though disconcerting, are interesting, as is most weather, so long as there is no resulting loss of life, limb or property associated with the phenomena; in this case, some warm weather, though not "fun", is at least "safe" ... however a long term early Spring cold spell would be far more enjoyable, and interesting, IMHO ... :cool:

And we may just get something akin ...

sfc_count_sup814_temp.gif
Best!
Phil
 
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GaWx said:
It is already 83 at noon here! Can you say all time record high for entire met winter in danger of being tied or even broken? That record is 86.

Edit: Actually, from Nov 3rd thru March 8th, SAV has not had anything warmer than 86 since records started in the 1870s!
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Congrats !
 
77 but rain and thunderstorms are closing in on me. I actually don't mind seasonal spring weather but what irritates me is the sudden change stuff, and we really had a sudden change.

(This isn't seasonal but it's looking ahead, although even what we're going to see soon is a little above average)
 
No 1st thunderstorm of the year yet but a lot of wind and a significant temp drop. 77 is the likely high today.
 
Amazing to think it's been three years since that storm already. Here's an old picture I have from it.

0225151630.jpg

Edit: Rome, GA, in case people didn't remember.
 
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What a wet Feb it has been here. Tornado warning here last night followed by another 1.5 in of rain. Over 13 inches already this year. another 2-4 in expected Wednesday. I care care less if i ever see rain again
 
pcbjr said:
Larry,
Records, and aberrations, especially those like what we're currently experiencing, though disconcerting, are interesting, as is most weather, so long as there is no resulting loss of life, limb or property associated with the phenomena; in this case, some warm weather, though not "fun", is at least "safe" ... however a long term early Spring cold spell would be far more enjoyable, and interesting, IMHO ... :cool:

And we may just get something akin ...

View attachment 4222
Best!
Phil
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We did it! 87! Warmest met winter day in SAV history back to the 1870s!
 
Possible localized 10 inch rains across the Mid-South? :confused:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
535 AM CST Mon Feb 26 2018

.UPDATE...

Updated to include 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 400 AM CST Mon Feb 26 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Two more days of February, one of the wettest Februaries on
record, and it looks like we are facing another heavy rain event.
A few light showers may linger this morning in Northeast
Mississippi, but most of the Midsouth will be dry with clearing
skies. Temperatures will rebound this afternoon. Highs should
climb into the low to middle 60s. Clear conditions will continue
overnight. Lows will be seasonable...in the middle 30s to low 40s.
Over the next 48 hours a trough will deepen over the Western US
resulting in strong Southwest flow across the Southern Plains and
middle to lower Mississippi River Valley. Weak southerly surface
winds will return to the Midsouth Tuesday ushering Gulf Moisture
back across the region. Dew points will creep back into the low
60s and clouds will return to the region. Late Tuesday into early
Wednesday a warm front will lift North across the area. A surface
low will track from West Oklahoma into North Missouri Wednesday.
Nearly all of the Midsouth will be in the warm sector of this
storm system for an extended period of time. Multiple rounds of
thunderstorms are expected to track from southern Arkansas across
North Mississippi Tuesday night Wednesday, Wednesday night and
much of the day Thursday. Widespread rainfall totals over three
inches are expected with an axis approaching 5 inches along and
just South of the Mississippi/Tennessee state line West into East
central Arkansas. Localized rainfall totals approaching 10 inches
are not out of the question. As a result, widespread flooding is
expected. A Flood watch will likely be required today or this
evening. There is also a risk for strong to severe thunderstorms
Wednesday...mainly in Northwest Mississippi and East central
Arkansas. The primary threat from any thunderstorms would be
damaging wind. Trees may be easily toppled due to saturated soils.
They could also be a bit top-heavy due to early blooms. Even 40
mph winds can bring trees down under these conditions.
However...it looks almost certain that flooding will be our main
weather story midweek. Rivers are already swollen and area soils
saturated, so flooding could become a problem with only an inch or
two of rainfall. Rain should taper off Thursday...but floodwater
may take quite a while to recede and Rivers/creeks and streams
will likely continue to rise. River flooding will certainly
continue through the weekend or longer.

Friday looks cooler and dry. The weekend also looks dry with
rebounding temperatures. Morning lows should be in the middle 30s
to middle 40s with highs in the low to middle 60s. Unfortunately
it looks like the beginning of next week looks wet again.
 
Feb 2018 will end up being either the warmest ever, or 2nd warmest on record for CHA. Pretty incredible. The last freeze was on the 9th. If this March cold pattern doesn't produce another freeze, that will likely be CHA's earliest last freeze as well.
 
They did it: by far the warmest Feb on record at ATL and SAV as well as the largest rise in mean temp from Jan to Feb going back to the late 1800s! This has been forecasted for a couple of weeks.

Major history made! Congrats! Speech!
 
Even with weeks of torching, I managed to get a -1 on last year on the average February high hah #winning.

(the actual average temp may very well have broken what was probably a record last year)
 
So I just looked over my backyard recorded temps for February and here’s the info. The average high was 56.25 degrees which was 6.25 degrees above normal. The average low was 37.59 degrees which was 10.59 degrees above normal. And the average mean temp was 46.92 degrees which was 8.42 degrees above normal. If it wasn’t for the first 15 days of the month just getting into the leading edge of the cold fronts I can’t even imagine how warm this month would have been here. As far as records I’m not sure exactly where this February ranks but I’m pretty sure it’s one of the warmest.
 
February stayed drunk nearly all damn month. Please rename thread FUBAR FEBRUARY. Thanks
 
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