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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

SouthATLwx said:
I mean, it's still early. The snow wasn't really expected until after midnight.

We'll just have to watch radar trends as the night progresses. If it fills in faster, then the chances of several inches goes up.

HRRR is holding steadfast with 3-5", but it's an outlier. Hopefully it pulls a coup, lol.
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I'm wondering how we'll get an accurate measurement when we still have a solid snow cover tbh ? just filling in the footprints maybe to get an idea? ?

Never expected to have this problem lol
 
Those ne winds on that brad p. wind gust map, mid- upper 20s is very concerning. The soil is a sponge. So if it doesnt freeze, harden up. We will compound our problems.
 

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Stormlover said:
One TV met here in town said off the record that this could be a level 10 storm for a few hours or more. The kind it gets bad so fast some people get stuck, and if you are out somewhere working, etc, you might not get home. It looks to hit late rush hour too.
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Will it not change over to rain later that night?
 
Stephenb888 said:
This is gonna be nothing but cold rain in upstate sc (except maybe extreme northern) accept it and enjoy.
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It will depend on where you are at in the upstate. I could see north eastern upstate from Spartanburg to rock Hill seeing a decent little event. While I don’t expect no more then maybe 0.05-0.10 in my part of Pickens county


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One thing I’m noticing is even the short range models are whiffing on just how dry the airmass coming over the mountains is. My DP is already 19 and almost all the short range guidance has me in the mid 20’s right now. Those small tweaks are what can knock off an additional couple of degrees at go time
 
Stephenb888 said:
Maybe you will get some in Spartanburg. Even that’s pushing it.
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Listen, I get it. You haven’t had any wintry weather all season. That holds no weight in this event. Your area may not get anything but plenty of people in Greenville, Spartanburg, and Cherokee counties at a minimum are in the crosshairs for a serious ice potential. Don’t make a blanket statement like that when there’s nothing on your side both model guidance wise or even real time things like colder than forecasted temps, DPs, increased snow pack to support the statement strictly based on the fact that your neck of the woods hasn’t seen any winter weather or isn’t going to out of this.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
My update 2nd call, will update as needed, this one is looking bad it would be so nice if I was dropping things south and upticking things for snow, but it’s ice unfortunately View attachment 75749
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That map looks pretty spot on to what is realistic to me. Including the upstate


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Well I did say extreme northern upstate which probably includes you so idk what else to say.
iGRXY said:
Listen, I get it. You haven’t had any wintry weather all season. That holds no weight in this event. Your area may not get anything but plenty of people in Greenville, Spartanburg, and Cherokee counties at a minimum are in the crosshairs for a serious ice potential. Don’t make a blanket statement like that when there’s nothing on your side both model guidance wise or even real time things like colder than forecasted temps, DPs, increased snow pack to support the statement strictly based on the fact that your neck of the woods hasn’t seen any winter weather or isn’t going to out of this.
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