Brent
Member
Even with very little radar echoes it's still snowing fairly decent here
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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
That nothing here is encouraging, keep it away from me lol
Brent
Member
Wonder what the new HRRR is gonna look like
When you look at the recent 06z HRRR run for 4 am it has the Dewpoint at RDU at 28 ... the dew point currently at RDU at 3 am is 21 ... an ice storm is coming
Brent
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
6z National Blend of models FRAM. More ice + even further SE w/ higher totals.
LovingGulfLows
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Clem282340
Member
That’s a pretty big increase in the upstate even for area south of i85 in South Carolina
Brent
Member
You're telling me after those big fat flakes in Waco last month it's been the total opposite both Sunday and tonight
"Hail" at DFW at 2 AM lol:
200 AM CST WED FEB 17 2021
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR S TO VISIBILITY.
TXZ118-119-170900-
DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
DFW AIRPORT HAIL 19 17 92 E3 30.11R FOG
Brent
Member
My friend closer to Dallas was reporting graupel earlier
I was just out about 15 minutes ago. It's definitely more graupel than pure snow.
From RAH:
Clouds will rapidly increase this evening, and precipitation will
follow soon after. The low pressure system responsible for the
precipitation will be off the Louisiana coast this evening, moving
northeast into southern Georgia by Thursday evening. While
temperatures will be warm enough for most precipitation to start as
rain, cooling surface temperatures will allow for a wide portion of
the forecast area to switch over to freezing rain. Freezing rain
will persist for many hours in many locations, through the rest of
the night and all of the day on Thursday. However, the warm nose of
temperatures above the surface may not initially be warm enough to
completely melt all snowflakes, and the below freezing surface layer
may be thick enough to allow for some sleet to occur due to
refreezing. The sleet should be a relatively short-lived event,
coming to an end by sunrise. By sunrise Thursday, all precipitation
should be falling as rain or freezing rain, and the transition zone
will shift very slowly north through the day. Many locations west of
I-95 should have at least a brief period of freezing rain except for
southwestern counties such as Anson, Richmond, and Scotland. While
the forecast for the last couple of days has leaned heavily on the
(colder) NAM solution, even the GFS is now coming in line with the
NAM in showing a sustained period of below freezing temperatures as
a result of cold advection, which provides increased confidence in a
prolonged freezing rain event. While locations north of I-85 will
generally remain below freezing all day, Sampson County is the only
area that might possibly have temperatures rise above 40 degrees on
Thursday. Finally, as strange as it is to think about when most of
the area will be receiving frozen precipitation, cannot rule out a
slight chance for thunderstorms, particularly east of I-95. In this
area, elevated convection may be able to develop off the top of the
strong inversion at 3-4 thousand feet with moderate lapse rates
extending into mid levels.
Have converted all counties that were in a Winter Storm Watch to a
Winter Storm Warning, in addition to adding Davidson and Randolph
Counties into a Warning. As expected, have also put several
counties in a Winter Weather Advisory where at least some
freezing rain accumulation is expected.
Clouds will rapidly increase this evening, and precipitation will
follow soon after. The low pressure system responsible for the
precipitation will be off the Louisiana coast this evening, moving
northeast into southern Georgia by Thursday evening. While
temperatures will be warm enough for most precipitation to start as
rain, cooling surface temperatures will allow for a wide portion of
the forecast area to switch over to freezing rain. Freezing rain
will persist for many hours in many locations, through the rest of
the night and all of the day on Thursday. However, the warm nose of
temperatures above the surface may not initially be warm enough to
completely melt all snowflakes, and the below freezing surface layer
may be thick enough to allow for some sleet to occur due to
refreezing. The sleet should be a relatively short-lived event,
coming to an end by sunrise. By sunrise Thursday, all precipitation
should be falling as rain or freezing rain, and the transition zone
will shift very slowly north through the day. Many locations west of
I-95 should have at least a brief period of freezing rain except for
southwestern counties such as Anson, Richmond, and Scotland. While
the forecast for the last couple of days has leaned heavily on the
(colder) NAM solution, even the GFS is now coming in line with the
NAM in showing a sustained period of below freezing temperatures as
a result of cold advection, which provides increased confidence in a
prolonged freezing rain event. While locations north of I-85 will
generally remain below freezing all day, Sampson County is the only
area that might possibly have temperatures rise above 40 degrees on
Thursday. Finally, as strange as it is to think about when most of
the area will be receiving frozen precipitation, cannot rule out a
slight chance for thunderstorms, particularly east of I-95. In this
area, elevated convection may be able to develop off the top of the
strong inversion at 3-4 thousand feet with moderate lapse rates
extending into mid levels.
Have converted all counties that were in a Winter Storm Watch to a
Winter Storm Warning, in addition to adding Davidson and Randolph
Counties into a Warning. As expected, have also put several
counties in a Winter Weather Advisory where at least some
freezing rain accumulation is expected.
SimeonNC
Member
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Yikes
Brent
Member
HSVweather
Member
Huntsville went with a winter storm warning for northwest counties. BMX for their northwest counties. 
HSVweather
Member
HSVweather
Member
06Z HRRR 
