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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

Jessy89 said:
Chris justice just did a Facebook live. He doesn’t see upstate sc getting much outside the extreme northern part close to nc border. Cold rain for most according to him


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He screwed the pooch on the last one bad so I’m taking what he says with a grain of salt.
 
00z RGEM came through with our daily dose of model candy. It had ZR in the Triad for almost 30 hours, then had backside snow for NE NC. I'll take some of whatever it's smoking.
zr_acc.us_ma rgem2.17.00z.png
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RDUHeatIsland said:
00z RGEM came through with our daily dose of model candy. It had ZR in the Triad for almost 30 hours, then had backside snow for NE NC. I'll take some of whatever it's smoking.
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Run isn't done on tidbits but you can see why it flipped parts of NC to snow toward the end of it's run with this H5 look about half way through the runrgem_z500_vort_us_57.png
 
RDUHeatIsland said:
00z RGEM came through with our daily dose of model candy. It had ZR in the Triad for almost 30 hours, then had backside snow for NE NC. I'll take some of whatever it's smoking.
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I’ve slowly been seeing this trend on some models .. some back side snow as the low has drifted much farther south and it almost looks like we get strong of lower pressure just giving us waves of precip until eventually that warm nose disappears
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
I’ve slowly been seeing this trend on some models .. some back side snow as the low has drifted much farther south and it almost looks like we get strong of lower pressure just giving us waves of precip until eventually that warm nose disappears
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Agree, I have seen hints of it too. Not sure if it potentially leads to backside snow or just prolonged ice, but waves at the end of the event could prolong things.
 
Well I know what King Kong has taught us ... those SSW events are no joke and more than likely if u couple with a negative NAO it will produce some type of winter precip for the south and East ... this time no one is left unscathed ... except Florida I guess
 
Did get the brief 10 minute burst of mood flakes here as well. It dusted up the roads again before shutting off.

*Now* it's dry slot city for real, lol
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Well I know what King Kong has taught us ... those SSW events are no joke and more than likely if u couple with a negative NAO it will produce some type of winter precip for the south and East ... this time no one is left unscathed ... except Florida I guess
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And SOUTH CAROLINA
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
I'm beginning to get worried you won't get 4-6" like I thought you would.
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The forecast for Dallas has been more like 2-4 at best but honestly the main event is still a couple hours away the hi res models show it backbuilding into the daytime hours

The stuff around Brownwood is what to watch that's supposed to blossom towards the metroplexScreenshot_20210216-220138-326.png
 
Well we know how freezing rain is a self limiting process thank god for that or this would have been a real ---- show ... oh wait. .... a stiff NE wind to keep the air cold and dry .... *gulps*

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Dewpoint Dan said:
I'm beginning to get worried you won't get 4-6" like I thought you would.
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I mean, it's still early. The snow wasn't really expected until after midnight.

We'll just have to watch radar trends as the night progresses. If it fills in faster, then the chances of several inches goes up.

HRRR is holding steadfast with 3-5", but it's an outlier. Hopefully it pulls a coup, lol.
 
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