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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

Webberweather53 said:
Dropped to 34/32 here in Fayetteville, definitely verifying on the lower side of guidance temperature-wise atm
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All 3 events I have gotten colder than the guidance showed but it was basically the difference between 35 degree rain and 32 degree rain. So they didn’t really do “well” they just got lucky there wasn’t just a bit more cold push down on the southern end of the CAD.
 
Cold rain as expected for upstate sc miserable with water all over the rds almost hydroplaned


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Where's the NE winds that was supposed to be gusting 20-25 mph? Winds are calm to at times light here and still ENE instead of a NNE That makes a difference right there not going to hold freezing or below with a east wind. I suspect I'll go above freezing pretty soon, temp has been slowly rising this morning.
e928c1804f50e21887638248e083d97d.jpg
 
Doubt these images are going to help much. Did get the wife to take the one of a small maple in our backyard, you can kinda make out the ice but she wouldn't venture outside for the pic ??

IMG_2653_20210218_072952.jpg

edit: deleted 2nd pic, it was from inside a moving vehicle and was much more blurrier than I thought lol
 
Here's this morning's 12z sounding out of Greensboro. Classic freezing rain sounding here with near-surface cold layer that's about 2,800 feet thick, peaking ~-4°C and a very strong and deep warm nose aloft that's nearly 9,000 feet deep! The peak intensity of the warm nose was +9.4°C measured around 840mb, basically right in line w/ the 3km NAM forecast. It's not the strongest warm nose we've seen at GSO in a freezing rain event but it's darn close, tied for 3rd strongest in terms of peak intensity, and this warm nose was the 2nd deepest of the now 66 KGSO ZR soundings I've analyzed since 1976. Oth, this warm nose did extend above 650mb, that would make it the tallest one.

GSO Sounding 12z Feb 18 2021 edited.jpeg
 
Drove around for 20-30 minutes just north of 540 in Raleigh. Nice glaze on everything over 10-15 feet tall. But only saw a few smaller pines sagging and only 1 or 2 power lines in precarious positions. A degree or two cooler and we'd have been in bigger trouble I imagine. But kind of the story of this winter...
 
jovialweather said:
Drove around for 20-30 minutes just north of 540 in Raleigh. Nice glaze on everything over 10-15 feet tall. But only saw a few smaller pines sagging and only 1 or 2 power lines in precarious positions. A degree or two cooler and we'd have been in bigger trouble I imagine. But kind of the story of this winter...
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Can confirm. Glaze on everything 10 ft and above.

32/31.6 on the Wake/Durham line.
 
I guess RDU is at 32, but I checked outside here in SW Durham/hell(?) near the Orange County border and I’m not noticing any icing. Maybe there’s a light glaze on the higher branches, but I’m not even noticing that to be honest. We suck. At least my power will stay on.
 
13miles south of Downtown Raleigh and a decent icing on all surfaces. The evergreens are noticeably drooping and branches are hanging low.

I saw a few reports to the WNW (Chapel Hill, RDU, Durham) there wasnt icing. Family in Durham county near I40/hwy55 confirms no ice accrual on any surface. Odd. Perhaps it had to do with heavier rain returns?
 
SouthGarnerSleet said:
13miles south of Downtown Raleigh and a decent icing on all surfaces. The evergreens are noticeably drooping and branches are hanging low.

I saw a few reports to the WNW (Chapel Hill, RDU, Durham) there wasnt icing. Family in Durham county near I40/hwy55 confirms no ice accrual on any surface. Odd. Perhaps it had to do with heavier rain returns?
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It seems to be the area between 85 and 40 didn’t get much accretion yet due to QPF. I can confirm I’ve had an increasing glaze since early today.


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SouthGarnerSleet said:
13miles south of Downtown Raleigh and a decent icing on all surfaces. The evergreens are noticeably drooping and branches are hanging low.

I saw a few reports to the WNW (Chapel Hill, RDU, Durham) there wasnt icing. Family in Durham county near I40/hwy55 confirms no ice accrual on any surface. Odd. Perhaps it had to do with heavier rain returns?
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It may have to do with urban heat islands and their juxtaposition to warmer large area lakes around here. It usually doesn’t matter too much but when things are super marginal for ice accrual it can matter a lot.
 
Tons of sleet with it still sleeting/freezing raining
 
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