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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

NWS forecast for Florence AL is not optimistic for snow/sleet lovers...

Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Wind chill values between 11 and 21. East northeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers, mainly after 7pm. Low around 33. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain showers before 7am, then freezing rain likely, possibly mixed with sleet between 7am and 9am, then rain showers likely after 9am. High near 38. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
A chance of rain showers before 9pm, then a slight chance of freezing rain between 9pm and 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. North northwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
they are going to have to update that...it was a horrible forecast...expect something before 10, a winter storm watch probably for you here is your zone forecast even before the update, it's manually done
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow, rain with a slight chance of freezing rain in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Wednesday Night
A chance of sleet. Snow and freezing rain in the evening, then freezing rain after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation around an inch. Ice accumulation of up to one quarter of an inch. Not as cool. Near steady temperature in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Thursday
Cloudy with a chance of freezing rain. Rain likely with a chance of snow in the morning, then a chance of rain with a slight chance of snow in the afternoon. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and freezing rain in the evening. Cold with lows around 20. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
 
Wonder what’s caused that foothill minimum to start showing up? What has changed for the precip to dry up or skip whatever is happening?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Thats the Fram frzng rain. Its a combo of all models and you getting more sleet on some models more so than others cause your futher NW. Also if one is dryer than the rest , it pulls down qpf totals. Its like an ensemble, except its made up of all the models.
 
Jason Simpson just did a FB live and was very confident in accumulation in Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin, and Limestone. About a 12 hour period or more from 6pm to 6am all snow in those locations.
 
For those interested in such mundane things (like myeself), the NWS no longer issues a freezing rain advisory as of recently. It was consolidated into the standard WWA. (obviously Ice Storm Warnings are still a thing though--and some of you have been under them very recently)
 
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