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Deleted member 1449
Guest
The 3k NAM has me at 31 degrees at 18Z Thursday.
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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Gosh. Even the 3k nam shows those funky colors in similar areas 
SimeonNC
Member
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
The 3K FRAM
SimeonNC
Member
Deep snow cover down to PA with more being potentially added to it will certainly help this CAD, oh boy.
As bad as the lack of snow cover here is, nobody has gotten screwed more than the Dakotas.
Oh no seeing the more realistic HRW-NMMB be aggressive is bad
SimeonNC
Member
Can you post an image of it?
BelmontWX79
Member
Crazy southern gradient on the 3k nam. Gives Salisbury 1/2" ice and you zero lol.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Somewhere in the corner, the RGEM is smirking.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I know this model stinks but I don't like the scattered lighter precip. That would mean more ice. Ugh 
Oh, we're going to be in wedge alright. 33 and rain.
Well the initial wave of snow whiffed us just to the north.
Now it's waiting to see if/when the snow fills later tonight in as the dynamics come together.
In the mean time, it's dry slot city.
Now it's waiting to see if/when the snow fills later tonight in as the dynamics come together.
In the mean time, it's dry slot city.
iGRXY
Member
Yeah the CAMs are fixing to deliver a mean ice storm in the CAD regions of NC/SC
iGRXY
Member
Brads in house model is very aggressive/bad, I just watched his vlog
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
And it's still going. Wtf. 
campamy
Member
Earlier AFD from MRX this evening. I'm at 17 degrees right now with a forecasted low of 20 ? Grasping because I desperately want to try out our new sled!
"I think the biggest factor to keep an
eye on will be surface temperatures tonight (Tuesday night) and
daytime highs on Wednesday. Sometimes the models don`t handle how
long a dense/cold air mass can stick around in the eastern TN
valley, and sometimes we are slower to warm up than models
previously indicated. 12z Models have come in slightly colder for
daytime highs on Wednesday indicating that they may be picking up on
this colder air sticking around longer than previously indicated. If
daytime daytime highs on Wednesday get stuck in the 30`s or
near/below 40 then we`ll not have as far to drop overnight to hit
that freezing mark... I may very well be wrong on this, but I think
keeping an eye on how temperatures are trending on daytime Wednesday
will be the first indicator for the predominant precipitation type
on Thursday morning in the Valley."
"I think the biggest factor to keep an
eye on will be surface temperatures tonight (Tuesday night) and
daytime highs on Wednesday. Sometimes the models don`t handle how
long a dense/cold air mass can stick around in the eastern TN
valley, and sometimes we are slower to warm up than models
previously indicated. 12z Models have come in slightly colder for
daytime highs on Wednesday indicating that they may be picking up on
this colder air sticking around longer than previously indicated. If
daytime daytime highs on Wednesday get stuck in the 30`s or
near/below 40 then we`ll not have as far to drop overnight to hit
that freezing mark... I may very well be wrong on this, but I think
keeping an eye on how temperatures are trending on daytime Wednesday
will be the first indicator for the predominant precipitation type
on Thursday morning in the Valley."