There's one member that went bonkers that skews it. I think only 3 or 4 members have snow and the ptype pop is 15%. All of that said I'm in why notOf course, don’t take the accumulations seriously but there is a little bit of noise on SREF
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We had 30% ish of GEFS members. Waiting to see if that goes up.There's one member that went bonkers that skews it. I think only 3 or 4 members have snow and the ptype pop is 15%. All of that said I'm in why not
i see 13 with some (at my house)should be taken serious or not??Can’t imagine the GEFS pulling something out here but the majority want to mix in some sort of snow flakes on the northern edge of precip. About as razor thin of a margin as we can get. (Don’t look at member 8) View attachment 131933
Also with the trajectory that the cold air is coming in, this is way that it can push in faster than what we typically see east of the mountainsI'm with you, actually slowing precip down is first step in direction of any snowflakes on backside
Usually they do. I seem to remember the Euro and few EPS panels were trying to that a couple days ago. Honestly these are the type of trends that can happen inside of 72 hours that can make things interesting.If our s/w could get a little more neutral tilt before it shears out this could trend in to something. Don't these normally hold together a little better than models show sometimes?
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I agree. It's a huge cut off down there for you guys as well. I've experienced it several times over and it's real. Feast or famine. Since we're talking about gradients im going to throw in the Rutherford county nc gradient. It's one that never gets much mention but it should with the elevation change as there's a huge gradient here in the county and if you have lived here long enough you know. You go from the upstate to the mountains from the southern end of the county to the north western end of the county. From the state line NC/SC state line just out of Chesnee in to RC to Chimney Rock there is a crazy difference in elevation and snow totals north to south. I'm a mile south of the 74 bypass sitting at 1000ft elevation and there's a big gradient there as well 74 south to 74 north with the snow totals. Just one example off the top of my head Dec 18 2009. Chesnee maybe around 2 inches. My location Danieltown right off of 221 5 miles south of Rutherfordton 6 inches. Rutherfordton 10 inches and Chimney Rock 14 inches in that storm. Elevation is king.[/QUOTE]Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
You’ll have that on those big arctic outbreaks like this one ?
Low to mid 30's right now in Northern Virginia.
Yep in true backdoor front fashion, down to 46 here now.
You can see it here: http://hint.fm/wind/Yep in true backdoor front fashion, down to 46 here now.
SD, there is a cold front somewhere ?