ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah it's not that great but there is this and it seems like a start.
Also the CMC has this, and it's not too far off from the FV3. I'm still not buying.
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Pattern Fabulous February
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
Also the CMC has this, and it's not too far off from the FV3. I'm still not buying.
Rain?
The suspect issue in this should be the high and precipitation!
Snowed In
Member
snowlover91
Member
The last 4 runs of the GFS you can see a pretty big "jump" in regards to a stronger CAD signature on today's run.
I mean I hate the pattern showing up on it. There's no fab Feb in it.
snowlover91
Member
Euro will be out in a little over an hour. Here's what I'm looking for on it. Does it trend stronger with the HP and in a better CAD position? Does it quickly slide it OTS like the GFS or does it lock it in place like the FV3? What is the low track and how amped is it? These are the features I would advise looking for to see if it takes a step towards the FV3 or not.
Aye it’s a improvement... if you want ice.., there was actually only one member showing a CAD ice storm this time yesterday
Alright this is actually starting to concern me a tiny bit, gefs is trending stronger with the CAD and HP is moving SE with each run 
If, (very big if) that high pressure continues to strengthen and sit over NY/PA, a lot of people are in a lot of trouble. I'd love for the FV3 to be a formidable opponent for the Euro with forecast lead times, but at what cost?
NCCWOP9077
Member
Several members of the 00z Canadian ensemble system indicating a CAD event at 120 hours
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Snowflowxxl
Member
packfan98
Moderator
GEFS stays very active through the end of the run with more opportunities it looks like:
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Hope we can believe the GEFS this time. It burned us all with the potential for this week. But nice to see it and the FV3 showing potential. I think the FV3 actually had storms for the 18th and 22nd on it's run, too.
Jon
Member
Big oof
Edit: meant to post this in banter, but can’t move it. Mods feel free. Thanks!
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Edit: meant to post this in banter, but can’t move it. Mods feel free. Thanks!
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
With that amount of ice, even a gentle 10 mph can cause major issues.
Also here's the snow map.
Both of those totals are lower than I expected for my area. But yes, that would be some bad damage for the midlandsWith that amount of ice, even a gentle 10 mph can cause major issues.
Also here's the snow map.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Worth bringing this up since a lot of modeled ice maps are being thrown around.
I.e. usually a good idea to cut the ice total maps down by 60-75% of course it will vary from case to case.
I.e. usually a good idea to cut the ice total maps down by 60-75% of course it will vary from case to case.