Jessy89
Member
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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age
- Thread starter Ilovesnow28
- Start date
I'll take the EPS. And again just because there is blue over the se doesn't mean it's a great pattern for snow. The PV looks strong still with a raging +AO. NAO is neutral at best. Ridging is kind of flat on the west coast and weak. This is not a debbie downer post. Its simply what the model shows. If I'm wrong please feel free to tell me why.
I am glad that -EPO that dumped the trough in the west disappeared.
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I wonder which one I'll pick.
One thing I'll point out is that the 2 meter anomalies of the EPS don't average BN unlike the BN 500 mb anomalies of the EPS.
I wonder which one I'll pick.
One thing I'll point out is that the 2 meter anomalies of the EPS don't average BN unlike the BN 500 mb anomalies of the EPS.
You can see why looking at the surface pressures. But yeah, it sucks, I think we all know who will win.
ATLwxfan
Member
EPS all the way. It has been consistently ahead of the others at pumping the break on the cold. At least it’s not AN
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ATLwxfan
Member
TWC and Accu doubling down on warm solutions...50’s and 60’s indefinitely
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Don’t look now but the nam increased precip and is showing snow for a good bit of nc
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
It’s February absent any true arctic air.
ATLwxfan
Member
This may be one of those cases where we just don’t know the final verdict until the precip, if any, is falling from the sky.
Take the EPS with a chunk of salt in the 12-15 day range. Definitely more if a consensus on cold, and probably major cold, but otherwise it's all over the place with just about every solution possible. So the members are probably 25-30% cold with 70-75% everything else.
GFS juuuust missed something special around the 6th/7th..We can’t afford to miss on this one..this is it 
Wow the -NAO has been absolutely going insane the past couple model cycles ... truly a beauty in the beast with this one ... maybe it’s cause I haven’t seen one like that in a while ... would provide us a good shot for some blocking and some good storm tracks later ... wow this pattern holds lots of possibilities
GeorgiaGirl
Member
In the old days this thing would quite possibly be right where we want it. These days, idk anymore. Could just not come back, or it could trend wildly north (this factor will depend on how much we get the polar vortex).
Wish the Euro didn't run so late as I'd have some interest in what it's showing in this time period.
damn that was a close call 
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NC mountains take a major hit for this weekend’s snow chances..
18z
00z
18z
00z
I imagine they were prepared for it! ?
Ukie delivered the goods though ??
One thing is certain, cold isn't quite over I don't think, may be transient, sans blocking, but I think Feb scores a teen low for Chattanooga, somewhere down the line. 