At least both show a storm now, that's something to work with. I know no one wants to be suckered in again, but it's definitely something to still watch. But it's very alarming that the ensembles haven't showed hardly any support for the GFS, you got to think something is going to budge here soon. Either the GFS will cave (most likely the outcome), or the ensembles will begin to improve.
I agree, and it wouldn't take much to see a different look in that time frame. It is also holding more back over the rio grande. Now, I wish we had a good high coming down the plains, like the GFS, but I think there is some consistency between the models on something trying to get going in that time frame.
Basically we will continue to see these storms it’s just a matter of getting that cold air down long enough to produce some stuff for us ... so far no dice .. but again plenty of time :///Seen a lot of this so far this winter haven’t we
It's only a matter of time if there are changes up in and around the arctic. So far, that has been stably bad.
I think we pretty much knew this would happen. It's a given anymore it seems! We just gonna have to pull a rabbit out of a hat this winter.
I will say I agree on the no cold air funnel. GFS is a bit better than the euro showing it, but that is def. not a good look for cold for us. I know it can change, and will....Models have been awful!!
Yeah, they've been pretty bad. For the most part, though, they've been pretty reliable at warming up as we move forward and eliminating potential threats as we move in, predominately, IMO, due to the lack up help way up north. There has been nothing in our favor this year. None of that looks to change, even though the models show these mysterious cold shots and snowstorms from time to time. Hopefully, this changes before it's too late.
Ahhhh those were the days. It seemed like we had snow more than a inch every year in the 80’s winters
Is the 6th and 7th time period storm is it still there
Technically they are showing the same type of system it’s just the Gfs has much more cold air coming in a bit faster creating a more fun for all scenario .. euro is lagging behind which gives the storm justtttt enough room to cut .. but it was close and no reason to think that can’t change in the coming 7 days
Not terrible for sure ??
Can maybe sneak some cad events in with that look if I’m not mistaken... but we know how all that goes
I keep thinking this is so close to being much better but one of the things I have overlooked in my weenie wishcasting is the lack of dew point depression and how that impacts temps. Still hoping for a little stronger storm with better dynamics.
No offense taken. I think my main point was, a little ridge goes a long way in the late stages of winter and to play devils advocate to “this not a record warmth pattern”, we actually might make a run at top 5 warmest winters on record for many locations represented on this board. So I think my point was on topic enough to belong in the main thread.
People are going to be shocked at how hot it can actually get in late winter under that little ridge poking it’s nose into the SE..it bout to get
To think we could be excited that if it bumped 50 miles NW we would be near potential double digit snow totals
Not sure where to look at the 18z Euro. Anything on the backend this run? Post some of dem snow maps
Oh it only goes out to 90hr? I was wondering what that trailing wave was looking like this run
that's why I blocked seeing his posts long ago...try it, it works great
