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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

BirdManDoomW

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Triple code orange threat in the east pacific. Imagine the Atlantic having three areas this year. Maybe four let’s do it 2020
 

Snowfan

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You know considering how crazy 2020 has been, I wouldn't be surprised if the 2020 hurricane season breaks the all-time record for named storms.
 

CyclonicFury

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4 named storms already and it's June 23rd. Interestingly though the previous seasons to have 4 named storms before June (2012 and 2016) both had no tropical cyclones form during July at all.
 

BirdManDoomW

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God been hoping north Georgia finally gets destroyed this is the year those mtns come down
 

Webberweather53

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Invest 97L only has a 10% chance of development thru 48-120 hours... Imo, this is well on its way already to becoming a tropical cyclone. Semi-persistent, axisymmetric, and laterally confined convection near what may be a remnant mesoscale convective vortex plus the fact that it's small and already has a lot of pre-existing shear vorticity to work w/...

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have persisted during the past several
hours in association with a small low pressure system located about
midway between Florida and Bermuda. Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the next day or two while the low
moves generally east-northeastward. By Sunday night, however,
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
significant development to occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
 

Brent

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1200 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss potential
tropical development of low pressure system southwest of Bermuda.

An area of thunderstorms has persisted near the center of a small
low pressure system located more than 300 miles southwest of
Bermuda. Recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that
winds have increased and that the circulation has become better
defined. If this recent development trend continues, then a tropical
depression could form overnight or early Saturday
while the system
moves eastward at about 15 mph. By Sunday night, however,
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
significant development to occur. Interests in Bermuda should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Stewart
 

SD

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Pretty solid outflow kicking out to the east of the wave this morning. Even with that though there seems to be at least a mlc to the west maybe a llc. It doesn't look too bad honestly
 
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