I notice that 99l will be coming into an unfavorable environment this weekend, will it be able to restrengthen as it exits that environment?The last time we had a long track hurricane in the Caribbean in July was 2005, just keep that in mind haha. Might have a few chances at that here
I found themA whole bunch of majors on this afternoon's 12z EPS. A couple of Hugo's mixed in. Curious if anybody has the 15 day EPS spaghetti plots from Weathermodels.com? @CyclonicFury ?View attachment 44688View attachment 44689
Here's the compilation of the minimum ensemble members:View attachment 44691
Yeah 2005 was fun for awhile and then...I have a feeling that in a two to three months we are going to wish this season did not happen even though it is fun to track at the moment.
And if you the area you live in were ever heaven forbid hit hard by a hurricane, I bet your view would change a whole lot more (well assuming you're not insane, of course) even assuming evacuation to safety during the storm and even if your home is not badly damaged due to the absolutely nasty and very depressing after effects that go on endlessly and can change life forever. And that's in a normal year without a pandemic. We really need a quiet year for landfalls as much as ever, which I remain hopeful for. We are so due a bust to the quiet side. I'd sure love to see Joe Bastardi bust very badly.Yeah my view on hurricanes have changed a lot since I moved to the coast.
Some of the models are predicting this will become a tropical cyclone sometime next week.A tropical wave near the coast of Africa is expected to move
westward across the tropical Atlantic for the next several days.
Some development of this system is possible when it reaches the
western tropical Atlantic early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.