Kirk Mellish posted this information is his blog ...
www.wsbradio.com
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Well, this September was a dramatic difference from last September. Super hot last year vs. cooler than average this year. Hoping that's a good sign.
TW
Yeah but be careful. Everytime I think that I end up being wrong...?I'm rolling into fall/winter with the mindset "NO WAY" in heck it can be as bad as last winter! ??❄☃
Yeah but be careful. Everytime I think that I end up being wrong...?
Most definitely agreeMost every winter I remember with a cold November ended up being a really bad winter. My wish is for a flip to cold around mid December and lasting through the end of January. I’m then ready to fish!
TW
Lots of Scandinavian ridging being advertised on the models, could bode well for us in the future, let’s see if it can last View attachment 49397
November 2013 was fairly cold and that winter was pretty goodMost every winter I remember with a cold November ended up being a really bad winter. My wish is for a flip to cold around mid December and lasting through the end of January. I’m then ready to fish!
TW
This feels like Russian hacking to me.
Dennis Smith troll so hard
when was that, 1989?
Haha probably pretty close.when was that, 1989?
No. ?Can we have this pattern in winter View attachment 49438
Alaska is cold! Though axis and ridge axis is too far east! We fail!Can we have this pattern in winter View attachment 49438
At 360hrs, we get a -AO, and a -PNA. Toss!
View attachment 49442
Can we have this pattern in winter View attachment 49438
It hasn't matter what the pattern is like the past 10 years. We've been blanked in supposedly great patterns that produced in the past, and we've gotten snow in sucky patterns every once in awhile. I don't think we know what we need to get snow around here anymore. It just seems to do what it's gonna do.
+PNA sliding too far east.. flirting with disaster here. I must respectfully tossCan we have this pattern in winter View attachment 49438
agree, also if it verifies, the trough is way to far east...+PNA sliding too far east.. flirting with disaster here. I must respectfully toss
Can we have this pattern in winter View attachment 49438
Yep, GSP had a very bad one then too, I think?ATL had their earliest major ZR on record in mid Dec. of 2005.
My prediction for winter will be: PAINMy prediction for winter:
There will be warm spells
There will be cold spells
The Wambulance Thread will be active
There will be a huge boardwide storm which will make everyone happy, until we torch in mid February and winter dies a painful death
My prediction for winter will be: PAIN
And D, J, F, +3 to +5 temps for Met winter, for most of the SE
Looks cooler then last year?ready for a repeat ? View attachment 49465View attachment 49466
At this point, it has become a no-brainer that it's going to be a warm and miserable winter in the east. Now, when/if all of these warm forecasts bust, this will be the last year I give any weight to seasonal forecasting at all.Looks cooler then last year?
It would be funny as heck if the warm forecast that JB put out for this winter busts on the cold side after the way he’s been adamant about East coast cold for the last few years. Of course it would absolutely fit 2020 if there to be a board wide historic Southern Winter Storm at some point in mid to late December.At this point, it has become a no-brainer that it's going to be a warm and miserable winter in the east. Now, when/if all of these warm forecasts bust, this will be the last year I give any weight to seasonal forecasting at all.
It would be funny as heck if the warm forecast that JB put out for this winter busts on the cold side after the way he’s been adamant about East coast cold for the last few years. Of course it would absolutely fit 2020 if there to be a board wide historic Southern Winter Storm at some point in mid to late December.
[/QUO TE]
Give me a boardwide 4-6 inch event during last 10 days of Dec and I will call it a winter.![]()
I honesty don’t know if we should route for warm or cold over the next month? I would route for cold because any cold fall air is welcome. I would also route for warm so we see a shift in the monotonous regime of cold late fall, only for winter to be warm. Interesting Tweet by Webber and Fro.
I honesty don’t know if we should route for warm or cold over the next month? I would route for cold because any cold fall air is welcome. I would also route for warm so we see a shift in the monotonous regime of cold late fall, only for winter to be warm. Interesting Tweet by Webber and Fro.