Yeah I'm watching the time frame around the 20th to maybe kick something up along one of the old fronts off of the coast. With the eastern trough possibly losing its influence and more of a ridge taking shape these festering areas could get goingThe energy looks more favorable for GOM or development close to the USA from mid to late August. MDR still looks really quiet even through the next 30 days.View attachment 21477
View attachment 21478
That’ll be delightful for a cruise starting on 24th! ???Yeah I'm watching the time frame around the 20th to maybe kick something up along one of the old fronts off of the coast. With the eastern trough possibly losing its influence and more of a ridge taking shape these festering areas could get going
Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
I Remember seeing the GFS not so long ago at the end of the run with a massive high off the coast to the north, with a weak low below itYeah I'm watching the time frame around the 20th to maybe kick something up along one of the old fronts off of the coast. With the eastern trough possibly losing its influence and more of a ridge taking shape these festering areas could get going
Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
GFS showing pattern change around week 8/20, that lifts the monster High further north. I think it most likely calm until the pattern change.
I bet it took alot of guts posting this, good job.Only takes one cat 5 plowing into Myrtle Beach headed to Boone to make it a historic season.
NADA... JUST SOME COOLING CLOUD TOPS ALL MODELS HAVE IT GONE IN THE NEXT FEW HRSWhats up with this blow up in the Bay of Campeche?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
GFS continuing the pattern change week of 8/20 and dropping in 2 opportunities....so they might be picking up on the Kelvin wave too.A convectively coupled Kelvin Wave is being sniffed out by the EPS to pass thru the Atlantic basin ~8/20 and amplify the AEW at the tail end of August & beginning of September against climo.
Way more than 2That's likely updated for Barry.
Holy cow, look at the very wide range. 10-17 storms/5-9 Hs/2-4 majors? Is that really much of a prediction?