Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

[Shawn]

PV lobe nosing south in Manitoba at 60 hr. For us east coasters this is important

 

[Shawn]

Very nice cold push...hr 66....light snow developing AR, MS, into west AL

 

[Shawn]

Northern area of precip definitely lighter as it enters AL/GA @ 69h

 

[Shawn]

The 2nd shortwave in the northern branch just coming into view over central Manitoba. it's also trending a bit deeper & further W even thru HR 60

 

[Shawn]

Get prepared for a BIG DOG that's going to bite!!!

 

[Shawn]

Maybe a tic warmer?

 

[Shawn]

And then the trend breaks apart and the shortwave weakens. Fantastic...

 

[Shawn]

Precip @ 72h:

 

[Shawn]

Get prepared for a BIG DOG that's going to bite!!!

I prefer kitty cats.

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

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Costco will be out of sleds by noon tomorrow.


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Do they sell sleds in the south ?

They have em here!


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[Shawn]

What model is running now?

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[Shawn]

GFS has a much stronger trough over the NE/Lakes/MA vs CMC/Euro/UKM which should help keep this wave south

 

[Shawn]

Definitely looks a touch warmer to me.

 

[Shawn]

Pressures lowering in the gom...light band of snow along 20 it appears pushing into bama by hr 72 approaching GA

 

[Shawn]

I have bootcamp at 5:30. This better end well!


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[Shawn]

GFS has a much stronger trough over the NE/Lakes/MA vs CMC/Euro/UKM which should help keep this wave south

No bueno for the Carolinas

 

[Shawn]

So far it looks similar to 18z, but less precip and slightly worse temps.

 

[Shawn]

Cliff divers incoming!

 

[Shawn]

Temps are little warmer it appears...

 

[Shawn]

I'm waiting for the big dog bite.....

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[Shawn]

Man this is so confusing. One minute everyone says this is going to be a huge run, the next minute its a horrible run. Just end the madness already.

 

[Shawn]

Yea lol aint no big dog

 

[Shawn]

Yeah this one isn't going to cut it. It starts as rain in the areas that get the precip.

 

[Shawn]

GFS has a much stronger trough over the NE/Lakes/MA vs CMC/Euro/UKM which should help keep this wave south

No bueno for the Carolinas

Shortwave is slightly north of 18z and the wave following this is a little more NW so we may actually see more precip over NC vs the 18z run or maybe not

 

[Shawn]

Temps are very concerning

 

[Shawn]

Big dog cancel

 

[Shawn]

And I look icey.

 

[Shawn]

Man this is so confusing. One minute everyone says this is going to be a huge run, the next minute its a horrible run. Just end the madness already.

Too many people calling pbp that have no business calling pbp.

 

[Shawn]

More Euro like?


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[Shawn]

GFS goes BOOM over GA at hour 84....about to push into SC and NC....not sure about temps...prob a little warmer..

 

[Shawn]

this isn't a bad run at all for georgia

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[Shawn]

Georgia getting pounded, not much for my area

 

[Shawn]

Gonna be a big event for CAE this run. Whew.

 

[Shawn]

good lord the low is still way way south

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[Shawn]

GFS snow thru 84

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[Shawn]

Yea lol aint no big dog

Lol indeed. Nobody say big dog! The dog shrinks every time!

 

[Shawn]

GFS goes BOOM over GA at hour 84....about to push into SC and NC....not sure about temps...prob a little warmer..

wow no joke

 

[Shawn]

damn eastern georgia getting pounded

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[Shawn]

Looks like same track idea...bloomed a littttttle later...and a litttttle warmer.

 

[Shawn]

Actually check that, looks like a good event for Georgia overall.