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Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

Storm5 said:
and now it's stretching .....ugh

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Probably going to be a less impressive run than 18z but not as bad as the euro cmc...boy I hate projecting model runs it never goes well

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It actually appears to be slight further south vs 18z gfs...energy in question that is through hr 48
 
500mb basically indistinguishable at 51h:

gfs_0z_comparison_51h.png
 
SD said:
Storm5 said:
and now it's stretching .....ugh

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Click to expand...
Probably going to be a less impressive run than 18z but not as bad as the euro cmc...boy I hate protecting model runs it never goes well

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Click to expand...


Nuts...


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very slight difference vs 18z gfs so far through hr 54...honestly maybe very slightly more interaction with NB...but really about the same as 18z.
 
Took a heavy tug, maybe it'll recover as it drops now hopefully
 
While this will likely produce another Southern Winter event, thats two runs in a row now with more Northern Branch/Stteam interaction. 00z NAM also.
 
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