Wintry 1/7/17-1/10/17 Winter Storm

[Shawn]

Congrats, likely a nice run (maybe better than 18z) for some.

 

[Shawn]

This MAY be a weenie run.

Too early as always. Someone is probably going to say big dog soon too lol.

 

[Shawn]

Come on GFS! Send me to bed on a good note!

 

[Shawn]

stronger vort it appears with less interacting with NB vs 18z run...also *this might be super important* the vort looks LESS positively tilted as well.

 

[Shawn]

Out to 51h
18z --- 0z

 

[Shawn]

northern stream really pulling away now . should start to consolidate a little

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[Shawn]

Ohh big cat!

 

[Shawn]

Come on GFS! Send me to bed on a good note!

Gotta stay up for the EURO Parker!

 

[Shawn]

This may come in very similar to the CMC/Euro/Ukm. I really like whats going on over No Cal and NW Nevada

me too...notice how its not as positively tilted vs 18z gfs?

 

[Shawn]

Bed hell I been staying up till euro the last three nights.

 

[Shawn]

Yes, more tilting at hr 48...wave appears stronger...its going to be another good run, if not better

 

[Shawn]

The wave looks healthy to me at hour 48 and the GOM is starting it's interaction here. Should get moving soon and it should be interesting.

 

[Shawn]

stronger vort it appears with less interacting with NB vs 18z run...also *this might be super important*  the vort looks LESS positively tilted as well.

Yep, going to probably come in slower. Could actually be a bigger run.

 

[Shawn]

There's actually more separation now ~42 HR

 

[Shawn]

What sucks is that i've been staying up so late seeing what the models are showing that by the time the actual event happens i'll be too tired to enjoy it

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

 

[Shawn]

Nice cold push through hour 54 too.

 

[Shawn]

There is a lot of potential here

 

[Shawn]

Coffee my friend!!!

 

[Shawn]

There's actually more separation now ~42 HR

Agreed...vs 18z run this has more room....ATTM

 

[Shawn]

Looks good at 54!

 

[Shawn]

Not sure how it could get much better for us vs previous runs Chris, but looks like we have a shot at it.

 

[Shawn]

Way more moisture, yup...big dog this run!

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

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[Shawn]

If you put a trend gif on for 3 runs you can see improvement

 

[Shawn]

Here it comes. It survived pretty well and it's going to interact with the GOM still.

 

[Shawn]

Out to 60. Definitely more neutral tilt and looks a tiny bit healthier/slower. Should be slightly better.

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

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Maybe some texas toast if hes lucky

 

[Shawn]

woof woof

 

[Shawn]

Heart rate increasing and bed time being delayed

 

[Shawn]

There is a lot of potential here

YUP!!  High building in at hour 60 as well.

 

[Shawn]

Wave is tilting more at hr 60

 

[Shawn]

Here kitty kitty

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

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Costco will be out of sleds by noon tomorrow.


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[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Maybe some texas toast if hes lucky

hell just spring for the big zax snack meal . I'll chip in. Think the cookies are fresh?......nevermind that's pushing it

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[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Costco will be out of sleds by noon tomorrow.


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Do they sell sleds in the south ?

 

[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Costco will be out of sleds by noon tomorrow.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I'm sure you will be there when they open

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[Shawn]

I'm literally shaking... this is looking more and more like those monster GFS-PARA runs lol.

omgd shaking?? lol don't worry , ATL will buy you a sled and Shane will get you some chicken tenders......if they have been dropped ......

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Maybe some texas toast if hes lucky

hell just spring for the big zax snack meal . I'll chip in. Think the cookies are fresh?......nevermind that's pushing it

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

thats my favorite. Big Zax Snack Meal with 2 or 3 cookies !

 

[Shawn]

There's something developing in the gulf at hr 60. Looks interesting.

 

[Shawn]

Precip looks a little bit worse at 1pm Friday (hr 66):

18z --- 0z