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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Stormsfury
Member
March 2nd, 1980...
Like I mentioned before, KMA can have similar output to Euro so this isn't totally surprising to see solutions within the same ballpark. Obviously those fine details make all the difference.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah, there was some great grandaddy storm that likely had a big Hudson Bay ridge that trapped a clipper system underneath, which phased with a southern stream wave and triggered explosive cyclogenesis off the SE US Coast.
Doesn't ring a bell.
March 1-2, 1980… I believe the only time the entire state of NC got at least 3” from the same storm
Yup, that’s exactly it, I think you had a rolling animation of how it went a couple years ago, but southern stream wave progressing east, then a peice of northern stream dove from the NE and phased with the system and it unloaded
Oh boy ? looks like I’m getting a bottle of Hennessy tonight 
John1122
Member
If that storm pass and strength are remotely close to what the Euro showed, it would have a much larger precip field/shield. I'd suspect everyone South of the Ohio River/Mason Dixon line would see QPF.
The cold feed approaching from the NE US trough is the best of any EPS run yet so far 
First EPS run with the pre storm 850s being below 0C in NC, this run is about to cook, pretty major change in just 1 run 
That omega block is starting to get close to the benchmark for big NC winter storms (ridge axis in central/western Canada , with that trend sliding back towards central Canada
?850s dropping south
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Even the west-northwest to east-southeast swath of snowfall reminds me a lot of that old storm from the 20s.
I hope we connect on this one.
At this time range, you really couldn't ask for much better of a look from the EPS.
Looking in the background behind this potential, this is just El Niño doing El Niño things. Rampant pacific jet but shifted equatorial which makes the difference, which allows split flow and allows the higher latitudes to get blocked up, pretty classic El Niño driven pattern here, monster jet/blocked up flow in the higher latitudes = higher chances then normal of a big system 
Yep. Several members south of mby. Several hits. Several empties. It's a good spread.