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Pattern Mega March 2023

Yep. This is the 2nd or 3rd time the GFS has had a similar blockbuster storm in that time frame. The Euro and Canadian have a storm in some form or fashion as well. I wouldn't be surprised to see us close out the "winter" will something like this. Something like this would wipe out the Bradford Pear population. Bring it on!
TW
 
Tarheelwx said:
Yep. This is the 2nd or 3rd time the GFS has had a similar blockbuster storm in that time frame. The Euro and Canadian have a storm in some form or fashion as well. I wouldn't be surprised to see us close out the "winter" will something like this. Something like this would wipe out the Bradford Pear population. Bring it on!
TW
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The euro and Canadian hold back and show a storm at day 10. They are very similar in how it plays out, which just provides wintery weather to the mountains and foothills of Va. I would go with this outcome at the moment.
 
CaryWx said:
Why do we get freeze warnings when winter is not over? Are they not strictly designed around seasons or are they dynamic depending on preceding warm/growing spells. It's not Spring yet.
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My guess is it has been so warm and there's so much more vegitation versus this time of year normally that it necessitates them being issued.
 
CaryWx said:
Why do we get freeze warnings when winter is not over? Are they not strictly designed around seasons or are they dynamic depending on preceding warm/growing spells. It's not Spring yet.
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It's for growing season and farmers that freeze and frost advisories are issued. With February sitting in the 70's and 80's for most of the South, there has been growing and budding going on.
 
The 12Z suite starts off with a really good look on the ICON. This a really close to something much bigger.
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CaryWx said:
Why do we get freeze warnings when winter is not over? Are they not strictly designed around seasons or are they dynamic depending on preceding warm/growing spells. It's not Spring yet.
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Rah had something in the afd the other day about the frost/freeze program starting 3/12 can't remember if they said this the normal date or due to the warmth though
 
SD said:
Rah had something in the afd the other day about the frost/freeze program starting 3/12 can't remember if they said this the normal date or due to the warmth though
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Yeah due to the warmth they moved up the date for frost and freeze advisory’s and warnings since the growing season was well underway
 
CaryWx said:
Why do we get freeze warnings when winter is not over? Are they not strictly designed around seasons or are they dynamic depending on preceding warm/growing spells. It's not Spring yet.
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we went 20 days or so here without getting below freezing. We Normally don’t see freeze warnings till April since it’s common to go below freezing multiple times per week through March in a normal winter. This year however all but the biggest trees have bloomed and the cold can catch people by surprise when we’ve had low temps in the upper 40,s and low 50’s for weeks. Now all of the sudden it’s noon and 39 degrees with many nights below freezing about to happen. Hence the early freeze warnings.
 
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