Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Just noticed that none of the 3 GSP stations (GSP, AVL, CLT) have recorded a temp of 32 or below since 2/18. Pretty crazy when even AVL hasn't been below freezing in nearly 3 weeks! 
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Pattern Mega March 2023
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
KATL is currently running +12.7F for the month. We aren't even in reality anymore.
ATLwxfan
Member
Unreal. La Niña apparently going out with a bang!
NoSnowATL
Member
Well if you don't use the 1981- 2010 climo its prob only a few above.
ATLwxfan
Member
Very true. Our climate norms are extremely dated. In a few years these prolonged AN periods will be viewed as normal.
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Cad Wedge NC
Member
We were at 32F this morning.Just noticed that none of the 3 GSP stations (GSP, AVL, CLT) have recorded a temp of 32 or below since 2/18. Pretty crazy when even AVL hasn't been below freezing in nearly 3 weeks!
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I think they already are viewed as normal.
The +12.7 is based on the 1990-2020 averages, so it would likely be +14F based on the prior.
LickWx
Member
March 1960 was -14 on 81-10 for us.. man keep warming March like this and it’s gon be -20 below average looking back at it
NoSnowATL
Member
I haven’t seen the 1990-2020 climo switch yet on some sites. Still seeing 81-10. Local Mets still using the old climo data.
NoSnowATL
Member
Read it switched in May 2021 but I haven’t seen that data used.
The NOAA website has been using the new normals for over a year at least, at least from my experience.
NoSnowATL
Member
Good deal, glad to see it being used.
Avalanche
Member
I like using the new normals, I just don’t want us to forget what the normals use to be.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Lock it in
Strong cold phases of MJO are going to continue to want to keep troughs over the east.. as we gets things closer to medium and short range we see that trend happening 
Downeastnc
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
260+hrs away.
That particular image is but as you can see it's trending colder as we get closer plus current cold shot is not 260+hrs away, it's here now
iGRXY
Member
This is even funnier because this is a textbook cold chasing moisture setup as depicted by the GFS. Already know how that will end.
Today is forecast of 60, warmest forecast of next 7 days with several 32 and below nights in there. This is how we March now
NoSnowATL
Member
Yea I always forget I live south of the Southeast. It never gets here but hopefully you guys get that cold weather you are wanting.
iGRXY
Member
Well now that I look at it, that is a good way to get a winter storm. TPV sitting along the border with a strong -NAO locking in the 50/50 so we have a little bit of SER to help pump moisture, but clearly not pumping the warm air with it. GFS was in the mid 50's as the front pushed through so that gives me pause with that much lower heights around that we wouldn't be colder. Problem is Mid March and I will keep going back to that until we score.
LickWx
Member
Wasn’t this cold shot portrayed a lot colder not long ago
I don't really want it but I can't stop it
Probably, still cold to me though
HugeSnowStick
Member
Agree, what is the point now???
Sure I'm on the outside looking in, so why not
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Model consensus is I see CAD snow Sunday afternoon. Pretty good consensus at this point.
No anything euro related is useless and should not be used
12z GFS still showing the love. Kuchera:
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A dub is a dub
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Looks like good agreement on the possibility of seeing some snow. Right now, it looks like northern NC up into Va. Probably little to no accumulation, but it would still be nice to see some flakes falling from the sky. We're also within 5 days so maybe...
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
I’m definitely buying, all models showing something in Roanoke
I think you @BullCityWx and the gso/va folks are in a decent spot but we are all likely going to be fighting over getting any decent banding and longer duration precip to wetbulb the 850-925 layer and break snow through the surface. Right now it looks like brief onset sleet to a nice 36-38 and rain for many of us