NoSnowATL
Member
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Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Henry2326
Member
Uncommon to have Euro and GFS aligned this far out....
Brent
Member
Yeah I think that's really the key thing here... Obviously I wanna see more than one run but if the GFS Euro stay consistent plus the ensemble support yeah something legit may happen
With the troughs we’ve seen coming into the east coast, I’ve felt all season that the eastern Gulf coast would have the highest chance of a threat. This look would be a classic Florida Panhandle hit with heavy rains spreading well out ahead up the east coast.
jeremyt
Member
Would be nice to get a good soaking rain here.
Brent
Member
Thats almost scarily close to the euro considering it's day 10
Robust exhaust valves, very impressive and if we can hold a similar upper level look in the coming days it’s game on for the southeast US, all it takes is 1.
BHS1975
Member
Micheal 2?
Henry2326
Member
18z ICON at same position as Euro for 9/24.
BHS1975
Member
Gulf untouched aswell.
Too much to iron out, but probably not. Michael really was the perfect storm, with a perfect environment and track to make a historic landfall. With Michael there was a huge moisture plume in place from the big ridge that would not die; here is about the opposite with lots of dry air entrenched across the southern states, shear would likely be a problem close to landfall as well. However much like Michael, the more eastward it would stay the stronger it would likely be at landfall if you take the environment verbatim.
Also you don’t need a Michael like setup to get a crushing hit.
weather bubba
Member
The wave behind the disturbance everyone is watching that just came off the coast of Africa looks interesting too. It looks healthy and might be something to keep an eye on.
Taylor C
Member
The NAVGEM is the model I am siding with at this time with Fiona's impact on the environment.
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jeremyt
Member
Does anyone know the average amount of storms per year since record keeping began off of the top of their heads?
Snow_chaser
Member
Sorry if it’s off topic, but I remember less than a month before Michael hit, I was in PCB on vacay. Guess where I am at right now? Sitting on balcony at Orange Beach AL
There’s probably going to be another nuke on the 0z GFS after Fiona exits. 7 days from now that area highlighted by the NHC is already at 967mb west of Jamaica.
