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Pattern Winter outlook 2022/2023

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Wasn't sure where to put this, and my apologies if it's been covered elsewhere, but here is a very fascinating article about the January eruption of Hunga Tonga and the current significant cooling in the stratosphere, with possible indications for the upcoming winter. Lots of good detail and maps here for even this layperson. Check it out guys.
 
Wasn't sure where to put this, and my apologies if it's been covered elsewhere, but here is a very fascinating article about the January eruption of Hunga Tonga and the current significant cooling in the stratosphere, with possible indications for the upcoming winter. Lots of good detail and maps here for even this layperson. Check it out guys.
Good read… I seem to remember that the consistent -NAO of the winters of ‘09-10 and first half of ‘10-11 was preceded by an eruption thought I’m can’t remember where.
 
Good read… I seem to remember that the consistent -NAO of the winters of ‘09-10 and first half of ‘10-11 was preceded by an eruption thought I’m can’t remember where.
There were several VEI 4 eruptions in the southern hemisphere in 2008/2009, and one in the northern hemisphere. Tonga was atleast a VEI 5, but I bet we learn that it's a VEI 6, similar to Pinatubo (1991). I've never seen sunsets as pink as they are now.
 
So I just saw that Hurricanes outdoor game at Carter-Finley is scheduled for 2/18/23. Watch this year be the full on torch LaNina February that hasn’t happened the last two years and it be 80 degrees in Raleigh that day.
 
So I just saw that Hurricanes outdoor game at Carter-Finley is scheduled for 2/18/23. Watch this year be the full on torch LaNina February that hasn’t happened the last two years and it be 80 degrees in Raleigh that day.
When I saw that date I thought oh no we are going to be torching by then. If it was 1/18 I'd actually think we'd have a chance at a snow game
 
So I just saw that Hurricanes outdoor game at Carter-Finley is scheduled for 2/18/23. Watch this year be the full on torch LaNina February that hasn’t happened the last two years and it be 80 degrees in Raleigh that day.
They picked mid feb? Bad . Averages are climbing fast by then alongside sun angle !
 
SD, what are your early thoughts on winter? I know it's early. Do you think it will be more pacific driven if we get cold weather east of the rockies or will the nao be negative more this winter?
 
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